Henry Searle vs Matthew William Donald
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Henry Searle, giving them a 57% chance to win against Matthew William Donald (43%). Matthew William Donald leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Searle is 3-7 in their last 10, Donald 9-1. At -108, the odds imply 52% for Henry Searle, below the model's 57%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Henry Searle a 57% favorite. At -108 the sportsbook implies 52% for Henry Searle, 5 points below the model's 57%.
Model minus book: +5 pts
Model minus book: -14 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Henry Searle at -108 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Henry Searle | Matthew William Donald | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6638 | 6583 |
| Tour rank | ATP #294 | ATP #380 |
| Last 10 matches | 3-7 | 9-1 |
| Last 30 days | 1-1 | 12-1 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 53-21 | 65-31 |
| UTR | 14.63 | 14.16 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1490 | 1459 |
| Best surface | Grass | Clay |
| Worst surface | Clay | Hard |
Head to head
Matthew William Donald leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Matthew William Donald | 6-4, 7-6 | Italy Florence |
Recent form
Henry Searle, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Mae Malige | L | 4-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Matthew William Donald | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 20.10.2026 | Massimo Giunta | W | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 13.10.2026 | Massimo Giunta | L | 6-7, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 26.09.2026 | Dylan Dietrich | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 23.09.2026 | Liam Draxl | W | 7-6, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 22.09.2026 | Evan Zhu | W | 6-3, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 15.09.2026 | Timo Legout | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 25.08.2026 | Michael Antonius | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 12.08.2026 | Mees Rottgering | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
Matthew William Donald, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Filippo Romano | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Henry Searle | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 20.10.2026 | Carlos Sanchez Jover | W | 6-4, 5-7, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Javier Barranco Cosano | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 18.10.2026 | Gabriele Pennaforti | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 17.10.2026 | Giorgio Tabacco | W | 6-0, 3-1 |
| 16.10.2026 | Alexander Weis | W | 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Alexander Weis | W | 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Jonas Forejtek | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 14.10.2026 | Giovanni Oradini | W | 5-0 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Henry Searle | Matthew William Donald |
|---|---|---|
| Fausto Tabacco | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-0 |
| Fryderyk Lechno Wasiutynski | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-0, 4-6, 6-3 |
| Ioannis Xilas | 2-0 W 6-7, 6-4, 7-6, W 4-0 |
2-0 W 6-4, 5-7, 6-1, W 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| Mae Malige | 0-1 L 4-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-7, 6-2 |
| Nicolas Mejia | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-1 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: ATP Florence (Italy), model gave Henry Searle 57% at -108
- 2026-10-26: ATP Florence (Italy), model gave Henry Searle 57% at -108
- 2026-10-25: ATP Florence (Italy), model gave Henry Searle 57% at -108
- 2026-10-24: ATP Florence (Italy), model gave Henry Searle 57% at -108
- 2026-10-23: ATP Florence (Italy), model gave Henry Searle 57% at -108
- 2026-10-22: ATP Florence (Italy), model gave Henry Searle 57% at -108
- 2026-10-21: ATP Florence (Italy), model gave Henry Searle 57% at -108
Henry Searle vs Matthew William Donald: quick answers
Who will win Henry Searle vs Matthew William Donald?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Henry Searle, giving them a 57% chance to win against Matthew William Donald (43%).
What is the head-to-head record between Henry Searle and Matthew William Donald?
Matthew William Donald leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Matthew William Donald 6-4, 7-6 at Italy Florence.
Who is in better form, Henry Searle or Matthew William Donald?
Henry Searle is 3-7 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Matthew William Donald is 9-1 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Henry Searle and Matthew William Donald?
Henry Searle is rated 6638 (ATP #294) and Matthew William Donald is rated 6583 (ATP #380). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Henry Searle vs Matthew William Donald?
Henry Searle is priced at -108 and Matthew William Donald at -130, which implies a 52% and 57% chance to win. The model rates Henry Searle 5 points higher than the odds do (57% vs 52%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.