Henry Bernet vs Thijs Boogaard
Updated
Henry Bernet beat Thijs Boogaard 6-4, 7-5, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Thijs Boogaard at 56%. Henry Bernet leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Bernet is 7-3 in their last 10, Boogaard 4-6.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Thijs Boogaard a 56% favorite. At +340 the sportsbook implies 23% for Thijs Boogaard, 33 points below the model's 56%.
Model minus book: -41 pts
Model minus book: +33 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Thijs Boogaard at +340 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Henry Bernet | Thijs Boogaard | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6617 | 6501 |
| Tour rank | ATP #326 | ATP #522 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 9-1 | 2-3 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 32-24 | 31-21 |
| UTR | 14.37 | 14.0 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1426 | – |
| Best surface | Clay | – |
| Worst surface | Hard | – |
Head to head
Henry Bernet leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.10.2026 | Henry Bernet | 6-4, 7-5 | France Roanne |
Recent form
Henry Bernet, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10.2026 | Daniel Altmaier | L | 7-5, 7-6 |
| 13.10.2026 | Clement Tabur | L | 7-6, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 12.10.2026 | Thijs Boogaard | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 11.10.2026 | Maximilian Neuchrist | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 03.10.2026 | Clement Chidekh | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Felix Balshaw | W | 3-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| 01.10.2026 | Dominic Stricker | W | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 30.09.2026 | Daniil Glinka | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 26.09.2026 | Samir Banerjee | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 25.09.2026 | Andreja Petrovic | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
Thijs Boogaard, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Maximilian Marterer | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 22.10.2026 | Adan Freire Da Silva | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 21.10.2026 | Matteo Martineau | W | 7-6, 1-6, 6-3 |
| 12.10.2026 | Henry Bernet | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 11.10.2026 | Timeo Trufelli | W | 5-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 04.10.2026 | Philip Henning | L | 6-2, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 27.09.2026 | Alberto Barroso Campos | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 23.09.2026 | Lucas Renard | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 22.09.2026 | Love Nyqvist | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 09.09.2026 | Sergey Petrov | L | 6-2, 7-6 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Henry Bernet | Thijs Boogaard |
|---|---|---|
| Jan Kumstat | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
0-2 L 6-1, 6-1, L 3-6, 7-5, 10-7 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-11: ATP Roanne (France), model gave Henry Bernet 44% at -588
Henry Bernet vs Thijs Boogaard: quick answers
Who won Henry Bernet vs Thijs Boogaard?
Henry Bernet beat Thijs Boogaard 6-4, 7-5, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Thijs Boogaard at 56%.
What is the head-to-head record between Henry Bernet and Thijs Boogaard?
Henry Bernet leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 12, 2026, won by Henry Bernet 6-4, 7-5 at France Roanne.
Who is in better form, Henry Bernet or Thijs Boogaard?
Henry Bernet is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Thijs Boogaard is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Henry Bernet and Thijs Boogaard?
Henry Bernet is rated 6617 (ATP #326) and Thijs Boogaard is rated 6501 (ATP #522). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Henry Bernet vs Thijs Boogaard?
Henry Bernet is priced at -588 and Thijs Boogaard at +340, which implies a 85% and 23% chance to win. The model rates Thijs Boogaard 33 points higher than the odds do (56% vs 23%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.