Henry Bernet vs Thijs Boogaard

ATP Roanne (France), Indoors. Monday, October 12, 2026, 03:00.

Updated

Henry Bernet beat Thijs Boogaard 6-4, 7-5, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Thijs Boogaard at 56%. Henry Bernet leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Bernet is 7-3 in their last 10, Boogaard 4-6.

Result: Henry Bernet beat Thijs Boogaard 6-4, 7-5. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Thijs Boogaard.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Thijs Boogaard a 56% favorite. At +340 the sportsbook implies 23% for Thijs Boogaard, 33 points below the model's 56%.

Model
44%
Book
85%

Model minus book: -41 pts

Model
56%
Book
23%

Model minus book: +33 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Thijs Boogaard at +340 · Model track record

Player comparison

Henry BernetThijs Boogaard
Tennis Gauge rating66176501
Tour rankATP #326ATP #522
Last 10 matches7-34-6
Last 30 days9-12-3
Current streak2 Losses1 Loss
Season record32-2431-21
UTR14.3714.0
Elo (52 weeks)1426–
Best surfaceClay–
Worst surfaceHard–

Head to head

Henry Bernet leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
12.10.2026Henry Bernet6-4, 7-5France Roanne

Recent form

Henry Bernet, last 10

DateOpponentScore
24.10.2026Daniel Altmaier L7-5, 7-6
13.10.2026Clement Tabur L7-6, 3-6, 6-3
12.10.2026Thijs Boogaard W6-4, 7-5
11.10.2026Maximilian Neuchrist W7-6, 6-2
03.10.2026Clement Chidekh L6-2, 6-4
02.10.2026Felix Balshaw W3-6, 6-2, 6-3
01.10.2026Dominic Stricker W6-1, 7-6
30.09.2026Daniil Glinka W6-4, 6-4
26.09.2026Samir Banerjee W7-6, 6-4
25.09.2026Andreja Petrovic W6-4, 7-5

Thijs Boogaard, last 10

DateOpponentScore
23.10.2026Maximilian Marterer L6-3, 6-3
22.10.2026Adan Freire Da Silva W7-6, 6-2
21.10.2026Matteo Martineau W7-6, 1-6, 6-3
12.10.2026Henry Bernet L6-4, 7-5
11.10.2026Timeo Trufelli W5-7, 6-3, 6-4
04.10.2026Philip Henning L6-2, 6-7, 6-3
27.09.2026Alberto Barroso Campos L6-2, 6-2
23.09.2026Lucas Renard L6-4, 7-6
22.09.2026Love Nyqvist W6-1, 6-0
09.09.2026Sergey Petrov L6-2, 7-6

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentHenry BernetThijs Boogaard
Jan Kumstat 1-0
W 6-2, 6-3
0-2
L 6-1, 6-1, L 3-6, 7-5, 10-7

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-11: ATP Roanne (France), model gave Henry Bernet 44% at -588

Henry Bernet vs Thijs Boogaard: quick answers

Who won Henry Bernet vs Thijs Boogaard?

Henry Bernet beat Thijs Boogaard 6-4, 7-5, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Thijs Boogaard at 56%.

What is the head-to-head record between Henry Bernet and Thijs Boogaard?

Henry Bernet leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 12, 2026, won by Henry Bernet 6-4, 7-5 at France Roanne.

Who is in better form, Henry Bernet or Thijs Boogaard?

Henry Bernet is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Thijs Boogaard is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Henry Bernet and Thijs Boogaard?

Henry Bernet is rated 6617 (ATP #326) and Thijs Boogaard is rated 6501 (ATP #522). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Henry Bernet vs Thijs Boogaard?

Henry Bernet is priced at -588 and Thijs Boogaard at +340, which implies a 85% and 23% chance to win. The model rates Thijs Boogaard 33 points higher than the odds do (56% vs 23%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.