Thiago Monteiro vs Henrique Rocha
Updated
Henrique Rocha beat Thiago Monteiro 6-4, 3-6, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Henrique Rocha leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Monteiro is 5-5 in their last 10, Rocha 7-3.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Henrique Rocha a 64% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -2 pts
Model minus book: -6 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Henrique Rocha at -238 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Thiago Monteiro | Henrique Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6718 | 6777 |
| Tour rank | ATP #194 | ATP #133 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 1-3 | 6-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 36-21 | 37-26 |
| UTR | 14.61 | 14.88 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1548 | 1649 |
| Best surface | Clay | Clay |
| Worst surface | Grass | Grass |
Head to head
Henrique Rocha leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10.2026 | Henrique Rocha | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 | Portugal Lisbon |
| 07.03.2026 | Henrique Rocha | 6-0, 6-7, 6-3 | Brazil Brasilia |
Recent form
Thiago Monteiro, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10.2026 | Henrique Rocha | L | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Alejandro Moro Canas | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 13.10.2026 | Marco Trungelliti | L | 4-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 05.10.2026 | Elmer Moller | L | 7-6, 5-7, 6-4 |
| 22.09.2026 | Mika Petkovic | L | 4-6, 6-4, 6-1 |
| 20.09.2026 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | L | 4-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 19.09.2026 | Marco Trungelliti | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 18.09.2026 | Diego Dedura Palomero | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 16.09.2026 | Vitaliy Sachko | W | 6-7, 6-4, 7-6 |
| 14.09.2026 | Stefano Travaglia | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
Henrique Rocha, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Elmer Moller | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Thiago Monteiro | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Dali Blanch | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 12.10.2026 | Sumit Nagal | L | 3-6, 7-5, 7-6 |
| 04.10.2026 | Inaki Montes De La Torre | W | 2-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | August Holmgren | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 01.10.2026 | Mili Poljicak | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 29.09.2026 | Cezar Cretu | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 11.09.2026 | Dusan Lajovic | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 10.09.2026 | Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Thiago Monteiro | Henrique Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 2-2 W 3-6, 6-3, 6-4, L 6-7, 6-4, 6-2, W 6-4, 6-1, L 6-2, 4-6, 6-3 |
1-2 L 6-1, 4-6, 6-2, W 6-4, 6-4, L 6-4, 6-2 |
| Alejandro Moro Canas | 1-0 W 6-3, 7-6 |
0-1 L 3-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| David Jorda Sanchis | 1-0 W 7-5, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
| Dusan Lajovic | 1-0 W 2-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
1-1 L 6-4, 6-4, W 6-4, 7-5 |
| Elmer Moller | 0-1 L 7-6, 5-7, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-4 |
| Franco Agamenone | 2-1 L 6-2, 6-3, W 6-4, 6-0, W 6-2, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-2 |
| Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 0-1 L 3-6, 6-4, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
| Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
| Marco Trungelliti | 1-1 L 4-6, 6-1, 6-4, W 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
0-2 L 7-6, 6-2, L 7-5, 4-6, 6-3 |
| Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 0-1 L 4-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
1-0 W 7-6, 3-6, 6-3 |
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-2 |
| Pedro Sakamoto | 1-0 W 6-4, 4-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 2-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| Tom Gentzsch | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-7, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-6, 7-6 |
Thiago Monteiro vs Henrique Rocha: quick answers
Who won Thiago Monteiro vs Henrique Rocha?
Henrique Rocha beat Thiago Monteiro 6-4, 3-6, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Thiago Monteiro and Henrique Rocha?
Henrique Rocha leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 21, 2026, won by Henrique Rocha 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 at Portugal Lisbon.
Who is in better form, Thiago Monteiro or Henrique Rocha?
Thiago Monteiro is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Henrique Rocha is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Thiago Monteiro and Henrique Rocha?
Thiago Monteiro is rated 6718 (ATP #194) and Henrique Rocha is rated 6777 (ATP #133). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Thiago Monteiro vs Henrique Rocha?
Thiago Monteiro is priced at +165 and Henrique Rocha at -238, which implies a 38% and 70% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.