Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha
Updated
Sumit Nagal beat Henrique Rocha 3-6, 7-5, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Henrique Rocha at 65%. Sumit Nagal leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Nagal is 4-6 in their last 10, Rocha 7-3.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Henrique Rocha a 65% favorite. At +228 the sportsbook implies 30% for Sumit Nagal, 5 points below the model's 35%.
Model minus book: +5 pts
Model minus book: -13 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Sumit Nagal at +228 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Sumit Nagal | Henrique Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6670 | 6777 |
| Tour rank | ATP #255 | ATP #133 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 1-3 | 5-0 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 29-33 | 37-26 |
| UTR | 14.39 | 14.88 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1523 | 1622 |
| Best surface | Clay | Clay |
| Worst surface | Grass | Grass |
Head to head
Sumit Nagal leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.10.2026 | Sumit Nagal | 3-6, 7-5, 7-6 | Portugal Maia |
Recent form
Sumit Nagal, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Alexander Ritschard | L | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Benjamin Hassan | W | 7-6, 2-0 |
| 20.10.2026 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 14.10.2026 | Luka Mikrut | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 12.10.2026 | Henrique Rocha | W | 3-6, 7-5, 7-6 |
| 01.10.2026 | Yibing Wu | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 30.09.2026 | Sergey Fomin | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 19.09.2026 | Soon Woo Kwon | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 18.09.2026 | Hyeon Chung | L | 2-6, 6-4, 7-5 |
| 25.08.2026 | Arthur Gea | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
Henrique Rocha, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Elmer Moller | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Thiago Monteiro | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Dali Blanch | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 12.10.2026 | Sumit Nagal | L | 3-6, 7-5, 7-6 |
| 04.10.2026 | Inaki Montes De La Torre | W | 2-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | August Holmgren | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 01.10.2026 | Mili Poljicak | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 29.09.2026 | Cezar Cretu | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 11.09.2026 | Dusan Lajovic | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 10.09.2026 | Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Sumit Nagal | Henrique Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Bu Yunchaokete | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
| Cezar Cretu | 2-0 W 6-2, 6-4, W 6-3, 4-6, 6-1 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
| David Jorda Sanchis | 1-0 W 6-3, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
| Enrico Dalla Valle | 1-0 W 6-2, 4-6, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-4, 7-6 |
| Inaki Montes De La Torre | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
1-0 W 2-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| Marcos Giron | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-4, 7-6 |
| Mili Poljicak | 1-0 W 6-4, 3-6, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-0 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-11: ATP Maia (XI) (Portugal), model gave Sumit Nagal 35% at +228
Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha: quick answers
Who won Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha?
Sumit Nagal beat Henrique Rocha 3-6, 7-5, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Henrique Rocha at 65%.
What is the head-to-head record between Sumit Nagal and Henrique Rocha?
Sumit Nagal leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 12, 2026, won by Sumit Nagal 3-6, 7-5, 7-6 at Portugal Maia.
Who is in better form, Sumit Nagal or Henrique Rocha?
Sumit Nagal is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Henrique Rocha is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Sumit Nagal and Henrique Rocha?
Sumit Nagal is rated 6670 (ATP #255) and Henrique Rocha is rated 6777 (ATP #133). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha?
Sumit Nagal is priced at +228 and Henrique Rocha at -345, which implies a 30% and 78% chance to win. The model rates Sumit Nagal 5 points higher than the odds do (35% vs 30%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.