Yibing Wu vs Hayato Matsuoka
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Yibing Wu, giving them a 92% chance to win against Hayato Matsuoka (8%). Yibing Wu leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Wu is 5-5 in their last 10, Matsuoka 5-5. At -556, the odds imply 85% for Yibing Wu, below the model's 92%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Yibing Wu a 92% favorite. At -556 the sportsbook implies 85% for Yibing Wu, 8 points below the model's 92%.
Model minus book: +8 pts
Model minus book: -15 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Yibing Wu at -556 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Yibing Wu | Hayato Matsuoka | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6799 | 6613 |
| Tour rank | ATP #119 | ATP #332 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 5-2 | 5-4 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 3 Losses |
| Season record | 35-22 | 47-32 |
| UTR | 15.35 | 14.16 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1722 | 1441 |
| Best surface | Hard | Hard |
| Worst surface | Grass | Clay |
Head to head
Yibing Wu leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Yibing Wu | 6-2, 6-3 | China Guangzhou |
| 02.10.2026 | Yibing Wu | 6-3, 6-2 | Asian Games Tennis |
Recent form
Yibing Wu, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Seong Chan Hong | L | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 22.10.2026 | Jie Cui | L | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 20.10.2026 | Hayato Matsuoka | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 09.10.2026 | Alexander Zverev | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 07.10.2026 | Michael Zheng | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 03.10.2026 | Coleman Wong | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Hayato Matsuoka | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 01.10.2026 | Sumit Nagal | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 30.09.2026 | M Rifqi Fitriadi | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 04.09.2026 | Carlos Alcaraz | L | 6-3, 6-4, 6-1 |
Hayato Matsuoka, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Fajing Sun | L | 4-6, 6-3, 7-5 |
| 20.10.2026 | Yibing Wu | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Aleksandar Vukic | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 12.10.2026 | James Mccabe | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 11.10.2026 | Qian Sun | W | 6-2, 6-7, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Yibing Wu | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 01.10.2026 | Alexander Shevchenko | W | 3-6, 6-2, 6-0 |
| 30.09.2026 | Yu Hsiou Hsu | W | 2-6, 6-4, 7-5 |
| 23.09.2026 | Taro Daniel | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 22.09.2026 | Arthur Weber | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Yibing Wu | Hayato Matsuoka |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Shevchenko | 1-0 W 7-6, 7-5 |
1-0 W 3-6, 6-2, 6-0 |
| Colton Smith | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-3, 7-5 |
| James Duckworth | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-3, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-4 |
| Patrick Maloney | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
| Rinky Hijikata | 1-0 W 6-1, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
Yibing Wu vs Hayato Matsuoka: quick answers
Who will win Yibing Wu vs Hayato Matsuoka?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Yibing Wu, giving them a 92% chance to win against Hayato Matsuoka (8%).
What is the head-to-head record between Yibing Wu and Hayato Matsuoka?
Yibing Wu leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Yibing Wu 6-2, 6-3 at China Guangzhou.
Who is in better form, Yibing Wu or Hayato Matsuoka?
Yibing Wu is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Hayato Matsuoka is 5-5 (current streak: 3 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Yibing Wu and Hayato Matsuoka?
Yibing Wu is rated 6799 (ATP #119) and Hayato Matsuoka is rated 6613 (ATP #332). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Yibing Wu vs Hayato Matsuoka?
Yibing Wu is priced at -556 and Hayato Matsuoka at +332, which implies a 85% and 23% chance to win. The model rates Yibing Wu 8 points higher than the odds do (92% vs 85%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.