Hayato Matsuoka vs Qian Sun
Updated
Hayato Matsuoka beat Qian Sun 6-2, 6-7, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Hayato Matsuoka leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Matsuoka is 5-5 in their last 10, Sun 4-6.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Hayato Matsuoka a 89% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -2 pts
Model minus book: -6 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Hayato Matsuoka at -1000 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Hayato Matsuoka | Qian Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6613 | 6374 |
| Tour rank | ATP #332 | ATP #873 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 3-3 | 1-2 |
| Current streak | 3 Losses | 1 Win |
| Season record | 47-32 | 22-22 |
| UTR | 14.16 | 12.92 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1446 | – |
| Best surface | Hard | – |
| Worst surface | Clay | – |
Head to head
Hayato Matsuoka leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10.2026 | Hayato Matsuoka | 6-2, 6-7, 6-4 | China Jinan |
| 03.05.2026 | Hayato Matsuoka | 1-6, 6-3, 7-5 | China Wuxi |
Recent form
Hayato Matsuoka, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Fajing Sun | L | 4-6, 6-3, 7-5 |
| 20.10.2026 | Yibing Wu | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Aleksandar Vukic | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 12.10.2026 | James Mccabe | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 11.10.2026 | Qian Sun | W | 6-2, 6-7, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Yibing Wu | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 01.10.2026 | Alexander Shevchenko | W | 3-6, 6-2, 6-0 |
| 30.09.2026 | Yu Hsiou Hsu | W | 2-6, 6-4, 7-5 |
| 23.09.2026 | Taro Daniel | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 22.09.2026 | Arthur Weber | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
Qian Sun, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2026 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 26.10.2026 | Yaroslav Demin | L | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Fajing Sun | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 11.10.2026 | Hayato Matsuoka | L | 6-2, 6-7, 6-4 |
| 07.10.2026 | Nino Ehrenschneider | L | 7-5, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 17.09.2026 | Alibek Kachmazov | L | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 16.09.2026 | Lachlan Vickery | W | 6-7, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 06.09.2026 | Yuta Tomida | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 05.09.2026 | Colin Sinclair | W | 4-6, 6-2, 7-6 |
| 04.09.2026 | Miles Jones | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Hayato Matsuoka | Qian Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Fajing Sun | 1-2 L 4-6, 6-3, 7-5, W 7-5, 7-5, L 6-2, 2-6, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
Hayato Matsuoka vs Qian Sun: quick answers
Who won Hayato Matsuoka vs Qian Sun?
Hayato Matsuoka beat Qian Sun 6-2, 6-7, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Hayato Matsuoka and Qian Sun?
Hayato Matsuoka leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 11, 2026, won by Hayato Matsuoka 6-2, 6-7, 6-4 at China Jinan.
Who is in better form, Hayato Matsuoka or Qian Sun?
Hayato Matsuoka is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Losses). Qian Sun is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Win).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Hayato Matsuoka and Qian Sun?
Hayato Matsuoka is rated 6613 (ATP #332) and Qian Sun is rated 6374 (ATP #873). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Hayato Matsuoka vs Qian Sun?
Hayato Matsuoka is priced at -1000 and Qian Sun at +472, which implies a 91% and 17% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.