Talia Gibson vs Harriet Dart

WTA Osaka (IX) (Japan), Hard. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 09:25.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Talia Gibson, giving them a 68% chance to win against Harriet Dart (32%). Talia Gibson leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Gibson is 5-5 in their last 10, Dart 8-2. At -135, the odds imply 57% for Talia Gibson, below the model's 68%.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Talia Gibson a 68% favorite. At -135 the sportsbook implies 57% for Talia Gibson, 11 points below the model's 68%.

Model
68%
Book
57%

Model minus book: +11 pts

Model
32%
Book
48%

Model minus book: -16 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Talia Gibson at -135 · Model track record

Player comparison

Talia GibsonHarriet Dart
Tennis Gauge rating70006887
Tour rankWTA #68WTA #126
Last 10 matches5-58-2
Last 30 days4-35-2
Current streak1 Loss4 Wins
Season record44-3039-25
UTR11.9911.95
Elo (52 weeks)17091646
Best surfaceHardHard
Worst surfaceClayClay

Head to head

Talia Gibson leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
19.10.2026Talia Gibson7-5, 7-6Japan Osaka

Recent form

Talia Gibson, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Alexandra Eala L4-6, 6-2, 6-0
26.10.2026Daria Kasatkina W6-0, 7-5
23.10.2026Ashlyn Krueger L6-1, 6-3
21.10.2026Sinja Kraus W6-2, 6-1
19.10.2026Harriet Dart W7-5, 7-6
10.10.2026Sara Sorribes Tormo L7-5, 6-0
30.09.2026Aliaksandra Sasnovich L6-1, 6-4
27.09.2026Leylah Fernandez L7-5, 6-0
25.09.2026Maria Sakkari W6-1, 4-6, 6-2
24.09.2026Viktoria Morvayova W7-6, 7-6

Harriet Dart, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Janice Tjen W6-4, 3-6, 6-3
26.10.2026Tatiana Prozorova W6-4, 2-6, 6-2
25.10.2026Mei Yamaguchi W6-2, 6-1
24.10.2026Cheuk Ying Shek W5-7, 7-6, 6-1
19.10.2026Talia Gibson L7-5, 7-6
18.10.2026Aoi Ito W6-3, 6-7, 6-3
17.10.2026Rina Saigo W6-3, 6-1
03.10.2026Iva Jovic L2-6, 6-3, 6-3
01.10.2026Yihan Qu W6-2, 6-7, 7-5
29.09.2026Ye Xin Ma W6-3, 6-2

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentTalia GibsonHarriet Dart
Iva Jovic 1-0
W 6-2, 6-2
0-1
L 2-6, 6-3, 6-3
Kamilla Rakhimova 1-0
W 6-3, 6-4
0-1
L 5-7, 6-1, 7-5
Kimberly Birrell 1-0
W 6-4, 3-6, 6-3
1-0
W 4-6, 6-3, 6-3
Lilli Tagger 1-0
W 4-6, 6-1, 7-5
0-1
L 6-4, 6-2
Maria Sakkari 1-0
W 6-1, 4-6, 6-2
0-1
L 6-1, 6-2
Marie Bouzkova 0-1
L 6-1, 3-6, 6-2
0-1
L 6-2, 6-2
Mei Yamaguchi 1-0
W 3-6, 7-6, 6-2
1-0
W 6-2, 6-1
Nao Hibino 1-0
W 6-3, 7-6
1-0
W 6-2, 6-3
Ye Xin Ma 1-0
W 6-4, 6-3
1-1
W 6-3, 6-2, L 4-6, 7-6

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-19: WTA Osaka (IX) (Japan), model gave Talia Gibson 70% at -137
  • 2026-10-18: WTA Osaka (IX) (Japan), model gave Talia Gibson 70% at -137

Talia Gibson vs Harriet Dart: quick answers

Who will win Talia Gibson vs Harriet Dart?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Talia Gibson, giving them a 68% chance to win against Harriet Dart (32%).

What is the head-to-head record between Talia Gibson and Harriet Dart?

Talia Gibson leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Talia Gibson 7-5, 7-6 at Japan Osaka.

Who is in better form, Talia Gibson or Harriet Dart?

Talia Gibson is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Harriet Dart is 8-2 (current streak: 4 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Talia Gibson and Harriet Dart?

Talia Gibson is rated 7000 (WTA #68) and Harriet Dart is rated 6887 (WTA #126). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Talia Gibson vs Harriet Dart?

Talia Gibson is priced at -135 and Harriet Dart at +109, which implies a 57% and 48% chance to win. The model rates Talia Gibson 11 points higher than the odds do (68% vs 57%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.