Harriet Dart vs Paula Badosa
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Paula Badosa, giving them a 75% chance to win against Harriet Dart (25%). Dart is 8-2 in their last 10, Badosa 6-4.
Prediction
The model makes Paula Badosa a 75% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -8 pts
Model minus book: +3 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Paula Badosa at -263 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Harriet Dart | Paula Badosa | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6887 | 7020 |
| Tour rank | WTA #126 | WTA #50 |
| Last 10 matches | 8-2 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 6-1 | 2-1 |
| Current streak | 4 Wins | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 39-25 | 30-22 |
| UTR | 11.95 | 12.36 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1646 | 1825 |
| Best surface | Hard | Clay |
| Worst surface | Clay | Grass |
Head to head
Harriet Dart and Paula Badosa haven't played each other in our records.
Recent form
Harriet Dart, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Janice Tjen | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 26.10.2026 | Tatiana Prozorova | W | 6-4, 2-6, 6-2 |
| 25.10.2026 | Mei Yamaguchi | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 24.10.2026 | Cheuk Ying Shek | W | 5-7, 7-6, 6-1 |
| 19.10.2026 | Talia Gibson | L | 7-5, 7-6 |
| 18.10.2026 | Aoi Ito | W | 6-3, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 17.10.2026 | Rina Saigo | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 03.10.2026 | Iva Jovic | L | 2-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 01.10.2026 | Yihan Qu | W | 6-2, 6-7, 7-5 |
| 29.09.2026 | Ye Xin Ma | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
Paula Badosa, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Sinja Kraus | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 26.10.2026 | Carol Young Suh Lee | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Antonia Ruzic | L | 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 03.10.2026 | Jelena Ostapenko | L | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 01.10.2026 | Daria Kasatkina | W | 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 19.09.2026 | Nadia Podoroska | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 18.09.2026 | Mary Stoiana | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 17.09.2026 | Jazmin Ortenzi | W | 4-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 17.09.2026 | Justina Mikulskyte | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 04.09.2026 | Coco Gauff | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Harriet Dart | Paula Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Iva Jovic | 0-1 L 2-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-1 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | 0-1 L 6-3, 3-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-6, 7-5 |
| Lilli Tagger | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-4, 7-6 |
| Maria Sakkari | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
| Marie Bouzkova | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-2 |
1-1 L 3-6, 6-3, 6-4, W 6-7, 6-4, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-11-01: WTA Guangzhou (China), model gave Harriet Dart 25% at +203
- 2026-10-31: WTA Guangzhou (China), model gave Harriet Dart 25% at +203
- 2026-10-30: WTA Guangzhou (China), model gave Harriet Dart 25% at +203
Harriet Dart vs Paula Badosa: quick answers
Who will win Harriet Dart vs Paula Badosa?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Paula Badosa, giving them a 75% chance to win against Harriet Dart (25%).
Have Harriet Dart and Paula Badosa played before?
Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.
Who is in better form, Harriet Dart or Paula Badosa?
Harriet Dart is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 4 Wins). Paula Badosa is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Harriet Dart and Paula Badosa?
Harriet Dart is rated 6887 (WTA #126) and Paula Badosa is rated 7020 (WTA #50). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Harriet Dart vs Paula Badosa?
Harriet Dart is priced at +203 and Paula Badosa at -263, which implies a 33% and 72% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.