Yaroslav Demin vs Harold Mayot
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Harold Mayot, giving them a 89% chance to win against Yaroslav Demin (11%). Demin is 7-3 in their last 10, Mayot 7-3. At -313, the odds imply 76% for Harold Mayot, below the model's 89%.
Prediction
The model makes Harold Mayot a 89% favorite. At -313 the sportsbook implies 76% for Harold Mayot, 13 points below the model's 89%.
Model minus book: -18 pts
Model minus book: +13 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Harold Mayot at -313 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Yaroslav Demin | Harold Mayot | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6525 | 6703 |
| Tour rank | ATP #479 | ATP #211 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 8-3 | 2-1 |
| Current streak | 4 Wins | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 43-21 | 33-19 |
| UTR | 13.6 | 14.56 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | – | 1628 |
| Best surface | – | Hard |
| Worst surface | – | Clay |
Head to head
Yaroslav Demin and Harold Mayot haven't played each other in our records.
Recent form
Yaroslav Demin, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Charles Broom | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 27.10.2026 | Carl Emil Overbeck | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 26.10.2026 | Martin Borisiouk | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 26.10.2026 | Qian Sun | W | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Akira Santillan | L | 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Kasidit Samrej | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 18.10.2026 | Alexandr Binda | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Matthew Dellavedova | L | 2-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Filip Peliwo | W | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 07.10.2026 | Akira Santillan | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
Harold Mayot, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Kaichi Uchida | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 27.10.2026 | Tianhui Zhang | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 17.10.2026 | Gabriel Diallo | L | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 02.10.2026 | Clement Chidekh | L | 3-6, 6-2, 2-0 |
| 01.10.2026 | Tristan Schoolkate | W | 6-4, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 30.09.2026 | Niels Visker | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 27.09.2026 | Titouan Droguet | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 26.09.2026 | Murphy Cassone | W | 5-7, 6-2, 4-2 |
| 25.09.2026 | Jesper De Jong | W | 6-3, 4-6, 7-5 |
| 24.09.2026 | Edas Butvilas | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Yaroslav Demin | Harold Mayot |
|---|---|---|
| Andrej Nedic | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-0 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-11-01: ATP Ningbo (China), model gave Yaroslav Demin 11% at +246
- 2026-10-31: ATP Ningbo (China), model gave Yaroslav Demin 11% at +246
- 2026-10-30: ATP Ningbo (China), model gave Yaroslav Demin 11% at +246
Yaroslav Demin vs Harold Mayot: quick answers
Who will win Yaroslav Demin vs Harold Mayot?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Harold Mayot, giving them a 89% chance to win against Yaroslav Demin (11%).
Have Yaroslav Demin and Harold Mayot played before?
Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.
Who is in better form, Yaroslav Demin or Harold Mayot?
Yaroslav Demin is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 4 Wins). Harold Mayot is 7-3 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Yaroslav Demin and Harold Mayot?
Yaroslav Demin is rated 6525 (ATP #479) and Harold Mayot is rated 6703 (ATP #211). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Yaroslav Demin vs Harold Mayot?
Yaroslav Demin is priced at +246 and Harold Mayot at -313, which implies a 29% and 76% chance to win. The model rates Harold Mayot 13 points higher than the odds do (89% vs 76%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.