Polina Iatcenko vs Harmony Tan

WTA Rovereto (Italy), Hard. Monday, October 12, 2026, 06:30.

Updated

Harmony Tan beat Polina Iatcenko 2-6, 6-4, 6-0, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Polina Iatcenko at 52%. Harmony Tan leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Iatcenko is 5-5 in their last 10, Tan 8-2.

Result: Harmony Tan beat Polina Iatcenko 2-6, 6-4, 6-0. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Polina Iatcenko.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Polina Iatcenko a 52% favorite. At +147 the sportsbook implies 40% for Harmony Tan, 7 points below the model's 48%.

Model
52%
Book
64%

Model minus book: -12 pts

Model
48%
Book
40%

Model minus book: +7 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Harmony Tan at +147 · Model track record

Player comparison

Polina IatcenkoHarmony Tan
Tennis Gauge rating68196833
Tour rankWTA #183WTA #170
Last 10 matches5-58-2
Last 30 days5-32-2
Current streak1 Loss7 Wins
Season record32-2436-19
UTR11.8511.88
Elo (52 weeks)16611596
Best surfaceGrassGrass
Worst surfaceClayClay

Head to head

Harmony Tan leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
12.10.2026Harmony Tan2-6, 6-4, 6-0Italy Rovereto

Recent form

Polina Iatcenko, last 10

DateOpponentScore
25.10.2026Alevtina Ibragimova L6-3, 6-3
24.10.2026Alexandra Shubladze W6-3, 2-6, 6-4
12.10.2026Harmony Tan L2-6, 6-4, 6-0
09.10.2026Lucrezia Stefanini L6-3, 7-5
07.10.2026Dalma Galfi W6-4, 7-6
05.10.2026Suzan Lamens W6-3, 6-1
29.09.2026Erika Andreeva L6-3, 6-2
26.09.2026Teodora Kostovic L7-5, 7-5
25.09.2026Ksenia Zaytseva W6-3, 6-2
23.09.2026Weronika Falkowska W6-3, 6-4

Harmony Tan, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Sada Nahimana W7-5, 6-3
28.10.2026Liv Boulard W6-2, 6-1
25.10.2026Katarina Zavatska W6-2, 7-6
24.10.2026Mariam Bolkvadze W6-2, 7-5
23.10.2026Viktoria Hruncakova W6-0, 6-4
22.10.2026Lian Tran W6-2, 6-3
21.10.2026Zongyu Li W6-1, 6-0
14.10.2026Lucrezia Stefanini L6-2, 6-3
12.10.2026Polina Iatcenko W2-6, 6-4, 6-0
01.10.2026Eva Vedder L6-4, 6-3

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentPolina IatcenkoHarmony Tan
Carol Young Suh Lee 0-1
L 6-2, 6-1
1-0
W 6-3, 7-5
Claire Liu 0-1
L 6-4, 6-2
0-1
L 1-6, 6-3, 6-4
Hanne Vandewinkel 0-1
L 6-4, 7-6
0-1
L 6-1, 1-0
Karman Kaur Thandi 1-0
W 6-3, 6-0
1-0
W 6-1, 6-0
Lanlana Tararudee 0-2
L 4-6, 7-5, 6-2, L 6-3, 6-2
1-0
W 6-2, 7-6
Lucrezia Stefanini 0-1
L 6-3, 7-5
0-1
L 6-2, 6-3
Teodora Kostovic 0-1
L 7-5, 7-5
0-1
L 6-4, 6-7, 6-3
Viktoria Hruncakova 1-0
W 4-6, 6-3, 6-3
1-0
W 6-0, 6-4

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-11: WTA Rovereto (Italy), model gave Polina Iatcenko 52% at -179

Polina Iatcenko vs Harmony Tan: quick answers

Who won Polina Iatcenko vs Harmony Tan?

Harmony Tan beat Polina Iatcenko 2-6, 6-4, 6-0, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Polina Iatcenko at 52%.

What is the head-to-head record between Polina Iatcenko and Harmony Tan?

Harmony Tan leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 12, 2026, won by Harmony Tan 2-6, 6-4, 6-0 at Italy Rovereto.

Who is in better form, Polina Iatcenko or Harmony Tan?

Polina Iatcenko is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Harmony Tan is 8-2 (current streak: 7 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Polina Iatcenko and Harmony Tan?

Polina Iatcenko is rated 6819 (WTA #183) and Harmony Tan is rated 6833 (WTA #170). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Polina Iatcenko vs Harmony Tan?

Polina Iatcenko is priced at -179 and Harmony Tan at +147, which implies a 64% and 40% chance to win. The model rates Harmony Tan 7 points higher than the odds do (48% vs 40%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.