Nika Hurkacz vs Hanna Chang
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Hanna Chang, giving them a 93% chance to win against Nika Hurkacz (7%). Hanna Chang leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Hurkacz is 6-4 in their last 10, Chang 6-4. At +650, the odds imply 13% for Hanna Chang, below the model's 93%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Hanna Chang a 93% favorite. At +650 the sportsbook implies 13% for Hanna Chang, 79 points below the model's 93%.
Model minus book: -86 pts
Model minus book: +79 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Hanna Chang at +650 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Nika Hurkacz | Hanna Chang | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6207 | 6568 |
| Tour rank | WTA #1286 | WTA #449 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 6-2 | 3-4 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 5 Wins |
| Season record | 27-17 | 57-24 |
| UTR | 10.35 | 11.27 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | – | 1355 |
| Best surface | – | Clay |
| Worst surface | – | Grass |
Head to head
Hanna Chang leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Hanna Chang | 6-4, 6-1 | USA Bakersfield |
Recent form
Nika Hurkacz, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Hanna Chang | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 11.10.2026 | Alexia Jacobs | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 10.10.2026 | Kei Kato | W | 6-0, 2-6, 6-2 |
| 09.10.2026 | Sveva Zerpelloni | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 03.10.2026 | Patricija Paukstyte | L | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 02.10.2026 | Cristina Ramos Sierra | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 02.10.2026 | Lily Pradkin | W | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 01.10.2026 | Ema Bubalo | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 22.09.2026 | Vilma Krebs Hyllested | W | 1-6, 6-2, 7-6 |
| 21.09.2026 | Valerie Shue | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
Hanna Chang, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Jenna Defalco | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 24.10.2026 | Connie Ma | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 23.10.2026 | Jo Yee Chan | W | 4-6, 6-0, 6-4 |
| 23.10.2026 | Salma Drugdova | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Nika Hurkacz | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Madison Brengle | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 08.10.2026 | Janae Preston | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 07.10.2026 | Amelie Justine Hejtmanek | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 01.10.2026 | Mary Stoiana | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 25.09.2026 | Janae Preston | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-20: WTA Bakersfield (USA), model gave Nika Hurkacz 7% at -1429
Nika Hurkacz vs Hanna Chang: quick answers
Who will win Nika Hurkacz vs Hanna Chang?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Hanna Chang, giving them a 93% chance to win against Nika Hurkacz (7%).
What is the head-to-head record between Nika Hurkacz and Hanna Chang?
Hanna Chang leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Hanna Chang 6-4, 6-1 at USA Bakersfield.
Who is in better form, Nika Hurkacz or Hanna Chang?
Nika Hurkacz is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Hanna Chang is 6-4 (current streak: 5 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Nika Hurkacz and Hanna Chang?
Nika Hurkacz is rated 6207 (WTA #1286) and Hanna Chang is rated 6568 (WTA #449). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Nika Hurkacz vs Hanna Chang?
Nika Hurkacz is priced at -1429 and Hanna Chang at +650, which implies a 93% and 13% chance to win. The model rates Hanna Chang 79 points higher than the odds do (93% vs 13%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.