Gonzalo Villanueva vs Miguel Tobon
Updated
Miguel Tobon beat Gonzalo Villanueva 6-1, 2-6, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Gonzalo Villanueva at 56%. Miguel Tobon leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Villanueva is 3-7 in their last 10, Tobon 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Gonzalo Villanueva a 56% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -1 pts
Model minus book: -7 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Gonzalo Villanueva at -133 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Gonzalo Villanueva | Miguel Tobon | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6586 | 6599 |
| Tour rank | ATP #377 | ATP #352 |
| Last 10 matches | 3-7 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 2-4 | 2-2 |
| Current streak | 5 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 48-33 | 31-28 |
| UTR | 14.21 | 14.11 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1369 | 1328 |
| Best surface | Clay | Grass |
| Worst surface | Hard | Hard |
Head to head
Miguel Tobon leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10.2026 | Miguel Tobon | 6-1, 2-6, 6-4 | Colombia Cali |
Recent form
Gonzalo Villanueva, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Lautaro Midon | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 21.10.2026 | Miguel Tobon | L | 6-1, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Carlos Maria Zarate | L | 6-3, 5-7, 6-4 |
| 05.10.2026 | Nick Hardt | L | 7-5, 3-6, 7-5 |
| 02.10.2026 | Guido Ivan Justo | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 01.10.2026 | Mateus Alves | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 30.09.2026 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 22.09.2026 | Guido Ivan Justo | L | 6-4, 3-6, 6-1 |
| 29.08.2026 | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | L | 4-6, 6-4, 7-6 |
| 28.08.2026 | Santiago De La Fuente | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
Miguel Tobon, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 26.10.2026 | Daniel Salazar | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 25.10.2026 | Federico Zeballos | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 23.10.2026 | Valerio Aboian | L | 1-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 23.10.2026 | Nicolas Mejia | W | 4-6, 6-2, 7-6 |
| 21.10.2026 | Gonzalo Villanueva | W | 6-1, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 09.10.2026 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 08.10.2026 | Tomas Barrios Vera | W | 3-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 06.10.2026 | Thiago Cigarran | W | 4-6, 6-4, 6-1 |
| 29.09.2026 | Juan Bautista Torres | L | 6-2, 3-6, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Gonzalo Villanueva | Miguel Tobon |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Sanchez Jover | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-1 |
0-1 L 7-6, 4-6, 6-0 |
| Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | 1-4 L 4-6, 6-4, 7-6, L 6-3, 6-1, L 6-3, 7-6, W 6-0, 7-5, L 6-3, 4-6, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
| Juan Bautista Torres | 1-1 W 7-5, 6-7, 6-3, L 6-2, 7-5 |
0-3 L 6-2, 3-6, 6-1, L 6-7, 6-4, 6-1, L 6-1, 7-6 |
| Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | 1-1 W 3-6, 6-3, 6-4, L 6-4, 4-6, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-2 |
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 3-0 W 3-6, 7-5, 6-1, W 7-5, 6-4, W 6-4, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-3 |
| Thiago Cigarran | 1-0 W 6-2, 7-6 |
1-0 W 4-6, 6-4, 6-1 |
| Valerio Aboian | 2-0 W 6-1, 6-1, W 6-7, 6-1, 6-3 |
0-1 L 1-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-20: ATP Cali (VII) (Colombia), model gave Gonzalo Villanueva 56% at -133
Gonzalo Villanueva vs Miguel Tobon: quick answers
Who won Gonzalo Villanueva vs Miguel Tobon?
Miguel Tobon beat Gonzalo Villanueva 6-1, 2-6, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Gonzalo Villanueva at 56%.
What is the head-to-head record between Gonzalo Villanueva and Miguel Tobon?
Miguel Tobon leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 21, 2026, won by Miguel Tobon 6-1, 2-6, 6-4 at Colombia Cali.
Who is in better form, Gonzalo Villanueva or Miguel Tobon?
Gonzalo Villanueva is 3-7 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 5 Losses). Miguel Tobon is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Gonzalo Villanueva and Miguel Tobon?
Gonzalo Villanueva is rated 6586 (ATP #377) and Miguel Tobon is rated 6599 (ATP #352). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Gonzalo Villanueva vs Miguel Tobon?
Gonzalo Villanueva is priced at -133 and Miguel Tobon at -105, which implies a 57% and 51% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.