Gonzalo Bueno vs Hernan Casanova
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Gonzalo Bueno, giving them a 78% chance to win against Hernan Casanova (22%). Gonzalo Bueno leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Bueno is 5-5 in their last 10, Casanova 4-6. At -204, the odds imply 67% for Gonzalo Bueno, below the model's 78%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Gonzalo Bueno a 78% favorite. At -204 the sportsbook implies 67% for Gonzalo Bueno, 11 points below the model's 78%.
Model minus book: +11 pts
Model minus book: -20 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Gonzalo Bueno at -204 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Gonzalo Bueno | Hernan Casanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6662 | 6540 |
| Tour rank | ATP #268 | ATP #442 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 1-1 | 3-5 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 35-30 | 26-22 |
| UTR | 14.28 | 14.06 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1490 | 1377 |
| Best surface | Clay | Clay |
| Worst surface | Hard | Hard |
Head to head
Gonzalo Bueno leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Gonzalo Bueno | 2-6, 6-3, 6-2 | Colombia Cali |
| 10.04.2026 | Gonzalo Bueno | 3-6, 6-2, 7-6 | Brazil Campinas |
Recent form
Gonzalo Bueno, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Carlos Maria Zarate | L | 3-6, 7-5, 7-5 |
| 27.10.2026 | Alex Barrena | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Hernan Casanova | W | 2-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Maximo Zeitune | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 08.09.2026 | Carlos Sanchez Jover | W | 0-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 02.09.2026 | Max Schoenhaus | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 31.08.2026 | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | W | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 24.08.2026 | Billy Harris | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 20.08.2026 | Valentin Royer | L | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 19.08.2026 | Edward Winter | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
Hernan Casanova, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Gonzalo Bueno | L | 2-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Juan Manuel La Serna | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 12.10.2026 | Wilson Leite | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 11.10.2026 | Alexandre Bobiere Rivero | W | 6-0, 6-0 |
| 05.10.2026 | Bernardo Munk Mesa | L | 6-1, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 04.10.2026 | Wilson Leite | W | 6-3, 3-6, 6-4 |
| 29.09.2026 | Gustavo Heide | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 22.09.2026 | Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 11.08.2026 | Flynn Thomas | L | 6-4, 2-0 |
| 09.08.2026 | Oleg Prihodko | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Gonzalo Bueno | Hernan Casanova |
|---|---|---|
| Conner Huertas Del Pino | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
| Franco Roncadelli | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
| Guido Ivan Justo | 1-1 L 4-6, 6-2, 6-2, W 6-3, 0-6, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-3, 4-6, 6-4 |
| Gustavo Heide | 0-1 L 6-2, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-1 |
| Juan Bautista Torres | 2-1 W 5-2, W 6-1, 6-3, L 7-5, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
| Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-1 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-2 |
| Mateus Alves | 1-0 W 4-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-7, 6-1, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-19: ATP Cali (VII) (Colombia), model gave Hernan Casanova 21% at +125
- 2026-10-18: ATP Cali (VII) (Colombia), model gave Hernan Casanova 21% at +125
Gonzalo Bueno vs Hernan Casanova: quick answers
Who will win Gonzalo Bueno vs Hernan Casanova?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Gonzalo Bueno, giving them a 78% chance to win against Hernan Casanova (22%).
What is the head-to-head record between Gonzalo Bueno and Hernan Casanova?
Gonzalo Bueno leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Gonzalo Bueno 2-6, 6-3, 6-2 at Colombia Cali.
Who is in better form, Gonzalo Bueno or Hernan Casanova?
Gonzalo Bueno is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Hernan Casanova is 4-6 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Gonzalo Bueno and Hernan Casanova?
Gonzalo Bueno is rated 6662 (ATP #268) and Hernan Casanova is rated 6540 (ATP #442). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Gonzalo Bueno vs Hernan Casanova?
Gonzalo Bueno is priced at -204 and Hernan Casanova at +142, which implies a 67% and 41% chance to win. The model rates Gonzalo Bueno 11 points higher than the odds do (78% vs 67%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.