Giulio Perego vs Mathys Domenc

ATP Heraklion (XI) (Greece), Hard. Wednesday, October 7, 2026, 01:30.

Updated

Giulio Perego beat Mathys Domenc 4-6, 6-1, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Mathys Domenc at 68%. Giulio Perego leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Perego is 7-3 in their last 10, Domenc 4-6.

Result: Giulio Perego beat Mathys Domenc 4-6, 6-1, 6-4. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Mathys Domenc.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Mathys Domenc a 68% favorite. At -128 the sportsbook implies 56% for Mathys Domenc, 12 points below the model's 68%.

Model
32%
Book
53%

Model minus book: -21 pts

Model
68%
Book
56%

Model minus book: +12 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Mathys Domenc at -128 · Model track record

Player comparison

Giulio PeregoMathys Domenc
Tennis Gauge rating63726402
Tour rankATP #884ATP #778
Last 10 matches7-34-6
Last 30 days2-13-3
Current streak1 Loss2 Losses
Season record36-2519-14
UTR13.1213.48

Head to head

Giulio Perego leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
08.10.2026Giulio Perego4-6, 6-1, 6-4Greece Heraklion

Recent form

Giulio Perego, last 10

DateOpponentScore
17.10.2026Amit Vales L3-6, 7-5, 7-5
16.10.2026Valentin Gonzalez Galino W6-1, 6-0
16.10.2026Valentin Gonzalez Galino W6-1, 6-0
13.10.2026Menelaos Efstathiou W6-4, 7-6
10.10.2026Jordan Hasson L6-3, 6-4
09.10.2026Peter Makk W6-2, 4-6, 7-5
08.10.2026Mathys Domenc W4-6, 6-1, 6-4
07.10.2026Tyler Stice W6-2, 6-1
24.09.2026Diogo Morais L6-3, 7-5
22.09.2026Mario Gonzalez Fernandez W6-4, 6-1

Mathys Domenc, last 10

DateOpponentScore
12.10.2026Mika Brunold L7-6, 6-3
08.10.2026Giulio Perego L4-6, 6-1, 6-4
07.10.2026Petros Tsitsipas W6-2, 1-0
21.09.2026Daniel Jade L6-7, 6-4, 7-5
20.09.2026Michele Ribecai W6-4, 6-3
17.09.2026Leonardo Rossi L7-6, 3-6, 6-2
16.09.2026Kyle Overmyer W6-7, 6-4, 6-4
08.09.2026Tanishk Konduri L6-3, 6-4
06.09.2026Nara Koki W4-6, 4-6
29.08.2026Daniel Jade L6-3, 1-0

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentGiulio PeregoMathys Domenc
Robin Bertrand 0-1
L 6-4, 7-6
1-0
W 7-5, 7-6

Giulio Perego vs Mathys Domenc: quick answers

Who won Giulio Perego vs Mathys Domenc?

Giulio Perego beat Mathys Domenc 4-6, 6-1, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Mathys Domenc at 68%.

What is the head-to-head record between Giulio Perego and Mathys Domenc?

Giulio Perego leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 8, 2026, won by Giulio Perego 4-6, 6-1, 6-4 at Greece Heraklion.

Who is in better form, Giulio Perego or Mathys Domenc?

Giulio Perego is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Mathys Domenc is 4-6 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Giulio Perego and Mathys Domenc?

Giulio Perego is rated 6372 (ATP #884) and Mathys Domenc is rated 6402 (ATP #778). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Giulio Perego vs Mathys Domenc?

Giulio Perego is priced at -112 and Mathys Domenc at -128, which implies a 53% and 56% chance to win. The model rates Mathys Domenc 12 points higher than the odds do (68% vs 56%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.