Matthew William Donald vs Giovanni Oradini
Updated
Matthew William Donald beat Giovanni Oradini 5-0, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Giovanni Oradini leads 2-1 in their head-to-head. Donald is 9-1 in their last 10, Oradini 8-2.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Matthew William Donald a 85% favorite. At -154 the sportsbook implies 61% for Matthew William Donald, 25 points below the model's 85%.
Model minus book: +25 pts
Model minus book: -35 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Matthew William Donald at -154 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Matthew William Donald | Giovanni Oradini | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6583 | 6477 |
| Tour rank | ATP #380 | ATP #566 |
| Last 10 matches | 9-1 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 7-2 | 5-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 4 Wins |
| Season record | 65-31 | 44-27 |
| UTR | 14.16 | 13.67 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1459 | – |
| Best surface | Clay | – |
| Worst surface | Hard | – |
Head to head
Giovanni Oradini leads 2-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Matthew William Donald | 5-0 | Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula IX |
| 13.09.2026 | Giovanni Oradini | 6-7, 7-5, 6-2 | Italy Biella |
| 11.02.2026 | Giovanni Oradini | 6-3, 6-7, 6-3 | Germany Oberhaching |
Recent form
Matthew William Donald, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Filippo Romano | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Henry Searle | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 20.10.2026 | Carlos Sanchez Jover | W | 6-4, 5-7, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Javier Barranco Cosano | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 18.10.2026 | Gabriele Pennaforti | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 17.10.2026 | Giorgio Tabacco | W | 6-0, 3-1 |
| 16.10.2026 | Alexander Weis | W | 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Alexander Weis | W | 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Jonas Forejtek | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 14.10.2026 | Giovanni Oradini | W | 5-0 |
Giovanni Oradini, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Andrea Colombo | W | 3-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 28.10.2026 | Jacopo Bilardo | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 27.10.2026 | Roberto Franchin | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Gabriele Bosio | W | 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 09.10.2026 | Daniel Michalski | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 08.10.2026 | Federico Iannaccone | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 07.10.2026 | Marco Furlanetto | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 22.09.2026 | Giuseppe La Vela | L | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 21.09.2026 | Pierluigi Basile | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 20.09.2026 | Kody Pearson | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Matthew William Donald | Giovanni Oradini |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Weis | 2-0 W 5-7, 6-4, 6-3, W 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
| Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-0 |
| Luca Potenza | 1-1 L 6-3, 6-4, W 6-2, 7-6 |
0-1 L 7-6, 2-6, 6-4 |
| Marco Furlanetto | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
| Mika Brunold | 0-1 L 7-5, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
| Oleg Prihodko | 1-1 W 6-4, 7-6, L 7-5, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-4, 3-6, 7-5 |
| Olle Wallin | 1-1 W 6-3, 7-5, L 7-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 7-5 |
| Petr Brunclik | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-4, 7-6 |
| Tommaso Compagnucci | 1-0 W 6-0, 6-0 |
1-1 L 7-5, 7-6, W 6-4, 6-1 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-13: ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula IX (Italy), model gave Matthew William Donald 85% at -154
Matthew William Donald vs Giovanni Oradini: quick answers
Who won Matthew William Donald vs Giovanni Oradini?
Matthew William Donald beat Giovanni Oradini 5-0, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Matthew William Donald and Giovanni Oradini?
Giovanni Oradini leads 2-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Matthew William Donald 5-0 at Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula IX.
Who is in better form, Matthew William Donald or Giovanni Oradini?
Matthew William Donald is 9-1 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Giovanni Oradini is 8-2 (current streak: 4 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Matthew William Donald and Giovanni Oradini?
Matthew William Donald is rated 6583 (ATP #380) and Giovanni Oradini is rated 6477 (ATP #566). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Matthew William Donald vs Giovanni Oradini?
Matthew William Donald is priced at -154 and Giovanni Oradini at +100, which implies a 61% and 50% chance to win. The model rates Matthew William Donald 25 points higher than the odds do (85% vs 61%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.