Giovanni Ciocca vs Lilian Marmousez
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Lilian Marmousez, giving them a 95% chance to win against Giovanni Ciocca (5%). Lilian Marmousez leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Ciocca is 6-4 in their last 10, Marmousez 8-2. At 0, the odds imply -0% for Lilian Marmousez, below the model's 95%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Lilian Marmousez a 95% favorite. At 0 the sportsbook implies -0% for Lilian Marmousez, 95 points below the model's 95%.
Model minus book: -3 pts
Model minus book: +95 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Lilian Marmousez at 0 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Giovanni Ciocca | Lilian Marmousez | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6117 | 6503 |
| Tour rank | ATP #2084 | ATP #517 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 1-0 | 3-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 28-24 | 35-10 |
| UTR | 12.52 | 14.3 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | – | 1438 |
| Best surface | – | Clay |
| Worst surface | – | Hard |
Head to head
Lilian Marmousez leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Lilian Marmousez | 6-3, 6-0 | Tunisia Monastir |
Recent form
Giovanni Ciocca, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Lilian Marmousez | L | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 28.10.2026 | Fnu Nidunjianzan | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 30.08.2026 | Maksim Despotovic | L | 6-4, 3-1 |
| 26.08.2026 | Kristijan Juhas | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 24.08.2026 | Gokberk Saritas | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 23.08.2026 | Nemanja Sapic | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 22.08.2026 | Nikola Tasic | W | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 19.08.2026 | Sebastian Gima | L | 3-6, 6-1, 6-1 |
| 17.08.2026 | Louis Allen | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 16.08.2026 | Lucian Stefan Andrei | W | 6-2, 7-6 |
Lilian Marmousez, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Giovanni Ciocca | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 28.10.2026 | Charles Chen | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Liam Gavrielides | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Kaan Isak Kosaner | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 20.10.2026 | Kaan Isak Kosaner | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 25.09.2026 | Luka Talan Lopatic | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 24.09.2026 | Bruno Pujol Navarro | W | 6-4, 1-6, 6-2 |
| 23.09.2026 | Matias Reyniak | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 13.09.2026 | Mate Valkusz | L | 6-1, 4-6, 7-5 |
| 12.09.2026 | Orel Kimhi | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Giovanni Ciocca | Lilian Marmousez |
|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Jadoun | 0-1 L 6-3, 4-6, 1-0 |
0-1 L 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-29: ATP Monastir (XI) (Tunisia), model gave Giovanni Ciocca 5% at +1150
Giovanni Ciocca vs Lilian Marmousez: quick answers
Who will win Giovanni Ciocca vs Lilian Marmousez?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Lilian Marmousez, giving them a 95% chance to win against Giovanni Ciocca (5%).
What is the head-to-head record between Giovanni Ciocca and Lilian Marmousez?
Lilian Marmousez leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 29, 2026, won by Lilian Marmousez 6-3, 6-0 at Tunisia Monastir.
Who is in better form, Giovanni Ciocca or Lilian Marmousez?
Giovanni Ciocca is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Lilian Marmousez is 8-2 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Giovanni Ciocca and Lilian Marmousez?
Giovanni Ciocca is rated 6117 (ATP #2084) and Lilian Marmousez is rated 6503 (ATP #517). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Giovanni Ciocca vs Lilian Marmousez?
Giovanni Ciocca is priced at +1150 and Lilian Marmousez at 0, which implies a 8% and -0% chance to win. The model rates Lilian Marmousez 95 points higher than the odds do (95% vs -0%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.