Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Giannicola Misasi

ATP Burgas (Bulgaria), Clay. Wednesday, October 7, 2026, 12:00.

Updated

Giannicola Misasi beat Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini 6-3, 4-6, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Giannicola Misasi leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Mordini is 5-5 in their last 10, Misasi 5-5.

Result: Giannicola Misasi beat Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini 6-3, 4-6, 7-6. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Giannicola Misasi a 62% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
38%
Book
42%

Model minus book: -4 pts

Model
62%
Book
68%

Model minus book: -6 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Giannicola Misasi at -213 · Model track record

Player comparison

Tobia Costanzo Baragiola MordiniGiannicola Misasi
Tennis Gauge rating63506352
Tour rankATP #955ATP #943
Last 10 matches5-55-5
Last 30 days4-33-3
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record38-3131-33
UTR12.6213.12

Head to head

Giannicola Misasi leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
08.10.2026Giannicola Misasi6-3, 4-6, 7-6Bulgaria Burgas

Recent form

Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini, last 10

DateOpponentScore
22.10.2026Matteo Gribaldo L1-6, 6-3, 6-4
21.10.2026Fausto Tabacco W6-3, 4-6, 6-3
20.10.2026Gabriele Maria Noce W7-5, 6-2
13.10.2026Fausto Tabacco L6-4, 6-2
08.10.2026Giannicola Misasi L6-3, 4-6, 7-6
06.10.2026Jannik Maute W6-1, 4-0
21.09.2026Lorenzo Carboni L7-6, 6-4
16.09.2026Alexander Weis L6-4, 6-3
15.09.2026Gabriele Crivellaro W6-3, 7-6
14.09.2026Mattias Pisanu W6-1, 6-1

Giannicola Misasi, last 10

DateOpponentScore
24.10.2026Geoffrey Blancaneaux L6-0, 6-2
23.10.2026David Tixhon W7-5, 6-2
20.10.2026Richard Lacis W7-6, 6-4
09.10.2026Matei Florin Breazu L6-1, 3-6, 6-4
08.10.2026Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini W6-3, 4-6, 7-6
06.10.2026Aleksandar Mitev W6-1, 6-4
30.09.2026Stijn Paardekooper L0-6, 6-3, 7-6
28.09.2026Valentino Grippo W6-3, 6-0
22.09.2026Gianmarco Ferrari L6-4, 5-7, 6-2
16.09.2026Max Hans Rehberg L6-3, 6-2

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentTobia Costanzo Baragiola MordiniGiannicola Misasi
Gabriele Bosio 0-1
L 7-6, 4-6, 6-4
1-0
W 4-6, 6-3, 6-3
Matthew William Donald 0-1
L 7-6, 3-6, 6-2
0-1
L 6-3, 7-5

Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Giannicola Misasi: quick answers

Who won Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Giannicola Misasi?

Giannicola Misasi beat Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini 6-3, 4-6, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini and Giannicola Misasi?

Giannicola Misasi leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 8, 2026, won by Giannicola Misasi 6-3, 4-6, 7-6 at Bulgaria Burgas.

Who is in better form, Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini or Giannicola Misasi?

Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Giannicola Misasi is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini and Giannicola Misasi?

Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini is rated 6350 (ATP #955) and Giannicola Misasi is rated 6352 (ATP #943). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Giannicola Misasi?

Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini is priced at +140 and Giannicola Misasi at -213, which implies a 42% and 68% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.