Gianluca Cadenasso vs Svyatoslav Gulin

ATP Catania (Italy), Clay. Thursday, October 15, 2026, 08:00.

Updated

Gianluca Cadenasso beat Svyatoslav Gulin 7-5, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Gianluca Cadenasso leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Cadenasso is 7-3 in their last 10, Gulin 7-3.

Result: Gianluca Cadenasso beat Svyatoslav Gulin 7-5, 6-4. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Gianluca Cadenasso a 76% favorite. At -169 the sportsbook implies 63% for Gianluca Cadenasso, 13 points below the model's 76%.

Model
76%
Book
63%

Model minus book: +13 pts

Model
24%
Book
45%

Model minus book: -21 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Gianluca Cadenasso at -169 · Model track record

Player comparison

Gianluca CadenassoSvyatoslav Gulin
Tennis Gauge rating66786602
Tour rankATP #248ATP #347
Last 10 matches7-37-3
Last 30 days4-35-2
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record29-2150-30
UTR14.4814.15
Elo (52 weeks)14621280
Best surfaceClayGrass
Worst surfaceHardHard

Head to head

Gianluca Cadenasso leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
15.10.2026Gianluca Cadenasso7-5, 6-4Italy Catania

Recent form

Gianluca Cadenasso, last 10

DateOpponentScore
20.10.2026Sandro Kopp L7-6, 6-1
18.10.2026Radu Mihai Papoe W6-4, 3-6, 6-4
17.10.2026Massimo Giunta W6-2, 6-3
16.10.2026Marvin Moeller W7-5, 4-6, 7-6
15.10.2026Svyatoslav Gulin W7-5, 6-4
13.10.2026Kai Wehnelt W6-7, 6-3, 6-4
07.10.2026Massimo Giunta L7-6, 7-5
06.10.2026Filippo Moroni W3-6, 6-4, 6-3
02.10.2026Vitaliy Sachko L4-6, 6-2, 3-0
30.09.2026Lorenzo Angelini W5-7, 6-3, 6-0

Svyatoslav Gulin, last 10

DateOpponentScore
25.10.2026Alexander Ritschard L6-2, 6-1
24.10.2026Elmer Moller W4-6, 7-5, 7-5
23.10.2026Andrea Pellegrino W7-5, 6-0
22.10.2026Andrej Martin W1-6, 6-0, 6-2
20.10.2026Patrick Schoen W6-1, 6-1
19.10.2026Patrick Schoen L6-0, 6-3
18.10.2026Takeru Yuzuki W6-4, 6-4
15.10.2026Gianluca Cadenasso L7-5, 6-4
13.10.2026Franco Agamenone W7-5, 6-2
12.10.2026Pedro Rodenas W6-2, 7-5

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentGianluca CadenassoSvyatoslav Gulin
Clement Tabur 1-0
W 7-5, 7-5
0-1
L 6-2, 6-7, 6-4
Daniel Michalski 1-0
W 6-4, 2-6, 6-4
0-1
L 6-3, 6-4
Kai Wehnelt 1-0
W 6-7, 6-3, 6-4
1-0
W 6-0, 6-4
Lorenzo Giustino 1-0
W 6-1, 7-6
0-1
L 6-4, 1-6, 6-4
Miguel Damas 0-1
L 6-2, 6-3
1-0
W 6-7, 6-3, 1-0
Oriol Roca Batalla 1-0
W 6-3, 6-3
1-0
W 6-2, 6-1
Radu Mihai Papoe 1-0
W 6-4, 3-6, 6-4
0-1
L 7-6, 4-1

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-14: ATP Catania (Italy), model gave Gianluca Cadenasso 76% at -169

Gianluca Cadenasso vs Svyatoslav Gulin: quick answers

Who won Gianluca Cadenasso vs Svyatoslav Gulin?

Gianluca Cadenasso beat Svyatoslav Gulin 7-5, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Gianluca Cadenasso and Svyatoslav Gulin?

Gianluca Cadenasso leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 15, 2026, won by Gianluca Cadenasso 7-5, 6-4 at Italy Catania.

Who is in better form, Gianluca Cadenasso or Svyatoslav Gulin?

Gianluca Cadenasso is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Svyatoslav Gulin is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Gianluca Cadenasso and Svyatoslav Gulin?

Gianluca Cadenasso is rated 6678 (ATP #248) and Svyatoslav Gulin is rated 6602 (ATP #347). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Gianluca Cadenasso vs Svyatoslav Gulin?

Gianluca Cadenasso is priced at -169 and Svyatoslav Gulin at +120, which implies a 63% and 45% chance to win. The model rates Gianluca Cadenasso 13 points higher than the odds do (76% vs 63%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.