Gianluca Cadenasso vs Radu Mihai Papoe

ATP Catania (Italy), Clay. Sunday, October 18, 2026, 02:00.

Updated

Gianluca Cadenasso beat Radu Mihai Papoe 6-4, 3-6, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Radu Mihai Papoe at 51%. Gianluca Cadenasso leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Cadenasso is 7-3 in their last 10, Papoe 7-3.

Result: Gianluca Cadenasso beat Radu Mihai Papoe 6-4, 3-6, 6-4. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Radu Mihai Papoe.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Radu Mihai Papoe a 51% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
49%
Book
54%

Model minus book: -5 pts

Model
51%
Book
54%

Model minus book: -3 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Radu Mihai Papoe at -118 · Model track record

Player comparison

Gianluca CadenassoRadu Mihai Papoe
Tennis Gauge rating66786574
Tour rankATP #248ATP #388
Last 10 matches7-37-3
Last 30 days7-37-1
Current streak1 Loss2 Losses
Season record29-2159-16
UTR14.4814.2
Elo (52 weeks)14621490
Best surfaceClayClay
Worst surfaceHardHard

Head to head

Gianluca Cadenasso leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
18.10.2026Gianluca Cadenasso6-4, 3-6, 6-4Italy Catania

Recent form

Gianluca Cadenasso, last 10

DateOpponentScore
20.10.2026Sandro Kopp L7-6, 6-1
18.10.2026Radu Mihai Papoe W6-4, 3-6, 6-4
17.10.2026Massimo Giunta W6-2, 6-3
16.10.2026Marvin Moeller W7-5, 4-6, 7-6
15.10.2026Svyatoslav Gulin W7-5, 6-4
13.10.2026Kai Wehnelt W6-7, 6-3, 6-4
07.10.2026Massimo Giunta L7-6, 7-5
06.10.2026Filippo Moroni W3-6, 6-4, 6-3
02.10.2026Vitaliy Sachko L4-6, 6-2, 3-0
30.09.2026Lorenzo Angelini W5-7, 6-3, 6-0

Radu Mihai Papoe, last 10

DateOpponentScore
20.10.2026Oriol Roca Batalla L6-4, 6-1
18.10.2026Gianluca Cadenasso L6-4, 3-6, 6-4
17.10.2026Felix Gill W6-4, 7-5
16.10.2026Zdenek Kolar W6-4, 6-2
16.10.2026Zdenek Kolar W6-4, 6-2
14.10.2026Luca Potenza W6-3, 6-4
13.10.2026Michele Ribecai W6-3, 6-4
02.10.2026Borys Zgola L6-3, 7-5
01.10.2026Vladislav Melnic W6-3, 6-2
30.09.2026Stefan Adrian Andreescu W6-3, 5-7, 6-2

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentGianluca CadenassoRadu Mihai Papoe
Alvaro Guillen Meza 1-0
W 6-3, 6-3
0-1
L 7-6, 7-5
Dusan Obradovic 0-1
L 5-7, 6-4, 6-4
1-1
L 7-6, 6-1, W 7-5, 6-3
Felix Gill 0-1
L 6-4, 6-2
1-2
W 6-4, 7-5, L 5-7, 6-1, 6-3, L 6-1, 6-3
Lautaro Midon 1-0
W 4-6, 6-1, 6-0
0-1
L 6-2, 6-2
Oriol Roca Batalla 1-0
W 6-3, 6-3
1-1
L 6-4, 6-1, W 6-7, 7-5, 7-5
Svyatoslav Gulin 1-0
W 7-5, 6-4
1-0
W 7-6, 4-1
Zdenek Kolar 0-1
L 6-4, 6-4
2-0
W 6-4, 6-2, W 6-4, 6-2

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-17: ATP Catania (Italy), model gave Gianluca Cadenasso 49% at -118

Gianluca Cadenasso vs Radu Mihai Papoe: quick answers

Who won Gianluca Cadenasso vs Radu Mihai Papoe?

Gianluca Cadenasso beat Radu Mihai Papoe 6-4, 3-6, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Radu Mihai Papoe at 51%.

What is the head-to-head record between Gianluca Cadenasso and Radu Mihai Papoe?

Gianluca Cadenasso leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 18, 2026, won by Gianluca Cadenasso 6-4, 3-6, 6-4 at Italy Catania.

Who is in better form, Gianluca Cadenasso or Radu Mihai Papoe?

Gianluca Cadenasso is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Radu Mihai Papoe is 7-3 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Gianluca Cadenasso and Radu Mihai Papoe?

Gianluca Cadenasso is rated 6678 (ATP #248) and Radu Mihai Papoe is rated 6574 (ATP #388). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Gianluca Cadenasso vs Radu Mihai Papoe?

Gianluca Cadenasso is priced at -118 and Radu Mihai Papoe at -118, which implies a 54% and 54% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.