Gianluca Cadenasso vs Marvin Moeller
Updated
Gianluca Cadenasso beat Marvin Moeller 7-5, 4-6, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Marvin Moeller at 60%. Gianluca Cadenasso leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Cadenasso is 7-3 in their last 10, Moeller 7-3.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Marvin Moeller a 60% favorite. At -128 the sportsbook implies 56% for Marvin Moeller, 4 points below the model's 60%.
Model minus book: -11 pts
Model minus book: +4 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Marvin Moeller at -128 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Gianluca Cadenasso | Marvin Moeller | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6678 | 6661 |
| Tour rank | ATP #248 | ATP #270 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 5-3 | 7-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 29-21 | 53-29 |
| UTR | 14.48 | 14.59 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1462 | 1569 |
| Best surface | Clay | Grass |
| Worst surface | Hard | Hard |
Head to head
Gianluca Cadenasso leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Gianluca Cadenasso | 7-5, 4-6, 7-6 | Italy Catania |
Recent form
Gianluca Cadenasso, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Sandro Kopp | L | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 18.10.2026 | Radu Mihai Papoe | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-4 |
| 17.10.2026 | Massimo Giunta | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Marvin Moeller | W | 7-5, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Svyatoslav Gulin | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Kai Wehnelt | W | 6-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 07.10.2026 | Massimo Giunta | L | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 06.10.2026 | Filippo Moroni | W | 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 02.10.2026 | Vitaliy Sachko | L | 4-6, 6-2, 3-0 |
| 30.09.2026 | Lorenzo Angelini | W | 5-7, 6-3, 6-0 |
Marvin Moeller, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Gianluca Cadenasso | L | 7-5, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Carlo Alberto Caniato | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Carlos Sanchez Jover | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 09.10.2026 | Matej Dodig | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 08.10.2026 | Ryan Nijboer | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Tiago Torres | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 26.09.2026 | Luka Mikrut | L | 6-3, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 25.09.2026 | Dali Blanch | W | 6-3, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 23.09.2026 | Federico Arnaboldi | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 22.09.2026 | Stefano Travaglia | W | 6-4, 4-6, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Gianluca Cadenasso | Marvin Moeller |
|---|---|---|
| Benito Sanchez Martinez | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-1 |
1-0 W 0-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| Daniel Michalski | 1-0 W 6-4, 2-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
| Hugo Gaston | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-4 |
| Kai Wehnelt | 1-0 W 6-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
| Lucca Helguera Casado | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-15: ATP Catania (Italy), model gave Gianluca Cadenasso 40% at -106
Gianluca Cadenasso vs Marvin Moeller: quick answers
Who won Gianluca Cadenasso vs Marvin Moeller?
Gianluca Cadenasso beat Marvin Moeller 7-5, 4-6, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Marvin Moeller at 60%.
What is the head-to-head record between Gianluca Cadenasso and Marvin Moeller?
Gianluca Cadenasso leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Gianluca Cadenasso 7-5, 4-6, 7-6 at Italy Catania.
Who is in better form, Gianluca Cadenasso or Marvin Moeller?
Gianluca Cadenasso is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Marvin Moeller is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Gianluca Cadenasso and Marvin Moeller?
Gianluca Cadenasso is rated 6678 (ATP #248) and Marvin Moeller is rated 6661 (ATP #270). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Gianluca Cadenasso vs Marvin Moeller?
Gianluca Cadenasso is priced at -106 and Marvin Moeller at -128, which implies a 51% and 56% chance to win. The model rates Marvin Moeller 4 points higher than the odds do (60% vs 56%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.