Matteo Covato vs Gerardo Delgado
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Matteo Covato, giving them a 61% chance to win against Gerardo Delgado (39%). Covato is 5-5 in their last 10, Delgado 3-1. At +640, the odds imply 14% for Gerardo Delgado, below the model's 39%.
Prediction
The model makes Matteo Covato a 61% favorite. At +640 the sportsbook implies 14% for Gerardo Delgado, 26 points below the model's 39%.
Model minus book: -35 pts
Model minus book: +26 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Gerardo Delgado at +640 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Matteo Covato | Gerardo Delgado | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6206 | 5328 |
| Tour rank | ATP #1567 | ATP #5771 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 3-1 |
| Last 30 days | 5-3 | 0-1 |
| Current streak | 3 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 17-34 | 3-1 |
| UTR | 12.29 | 11.88 |
Head to head
Matteo Covato and Gerardo Delgado haven't played each other in our records.
Recent form
Matteo Covato, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Maxwell Benson | L | 6-7, 7-6, 0-1 |
| 18.10.2026 | Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Ivan Dreycopp | L | 7-6, 6-7, 7-6 |
| 14.10.2026 | Emilio Camacho | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 10.10.2026 | Lucas Andrade Da Silva | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 09.10.2026 | Felipe De Dios | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 08.10.2026 | Mwendwa Mbithi | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 06.10.2026 | Dakotah Bobo | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 24.09.2026 | Stefan Seifert | L | 6-0, 6-3 |
| 22.09.2026 | Victor Barrere | W | 6-4, 4-6, 6-2 |
Gerardo Delgado, last 4
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08.10.2026 | Fabian Anthin | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 13.09.2026 | Fabian Anthin | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 12.09.2026 | Dan Hosono | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 11.09.2026 | Alejandro Verdasco | W | 6-2, 3-6, 1-0 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-11-01: ATP Mazatlan (Mexico), model gave Matteo Covato 61% at -2500
- 2026-10-31: ATP Mazatlan (Mexico), model gave Matteo Covato 61% at -2500
- 2026-10-30: ATP Mazatlan (Mexico), model gave Matteo Covato 61% at -2500
- 2026-10-29: ATP Mazatlan (Mexico), model gave Matteo Covato 61% at -714
Matteo Covato vs Gerardo Delgado: quick answers
Who will win Matteo Covato vs Gerardo Delgado?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Matteo Covato, giving them a 61% chance to win against Gerardo Delgado (39%).
Have Matteo Covato and Gerardo Delgado played before?
Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.
Who is in better form, Matteo Covato or Gerardo Delgado?
Matteo Covato is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Losses). Gerardo Delgado is 3-1 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Matteo Covato and Gerardo Delgado?
Matteo Covato is rated 6206 (ATP #1567) and Gerardo Delgado is rated 5328 (ATP #5771). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Matteo Covato vs Gerardo Delgado?
Matteo Covato is priced at -2500 and Gerardo Delgado at +640, which implies a 96% and 14% chance to win. The model rates Gerardo Delgado 26 points higher than the odds do (39% vs 14%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.