George Lazarov vs Mattia Nannelli

ATP Burgas (Bulgaria), Clay. Saturday, October 10, 2026, 12:30.

Updated

George Lazarov beat Mattia Nannelli 6-0, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. George Lazarov leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Lazarov is 8-2 in their last 10, Nannelli 7-3.

Result: George Lazarov beat Mattia Nannelli 6-0, 6-1. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes George Lazarov a 82% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
82%
Book
85%

Model minus book: -4 pts

Model
18%
Book
23%

Model minus book: -5 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of George Lazarov at -588 · Model track record

Player comparison

George LazarovMattia Nannelli
Tennis Gauge rating64196250
Tour rankATP #727ATP #1365
Last 10 matches8-27-3
Last 30 days7-24-0
Current streak5 Wins2 Losses
Season record35-229-8
UTR13.6512.98

Head to head

George Lazarov leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
11.10.2026George Lazarov6-0, 6-1Bulgaria Burgas

Recent form

George Lazarov, last 10

DateOpponentScore
11.10.2026Mattia Nannelli W6-0, 6-1
10.10.2026Jan Kupcic W6-3, 6-0
09.10.2026Vlad Cristian Breazu W6-3, 6-1
08.10.2026Nicolas Garcia Longo W6-3, 2-6, 6-4
07.10.2026Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre W6-3, 6-3
21.09.2026Izan Almazan Valiente L6-1, 7-5
20.09.2026Adrian Oetzbach W6-2, 6-3
18.09.2026Dusan Obradovic W5-7, 7-6, 10-7
18.09.2026Alexandre Aubriot L6-4, 6-1
17.09.2026Mak Mikovic W6-2, 7-5

Mattia Nannelli, last 10

DateOpponentScore
18.10.2026Dimitris Sakellaridis L7-5, 6-3
11.10.2026George Lazarov L6-0, 6-1
10.10.2026Matei Florin Breazu W5-7, 6-4, 7-6
09.10.2026Aleksandar Tolev W6-4, 7-5
08.10.2026Alexander Vasilev W6-4, 6-3
06.10.2026Rodion Chetverikov W7-6, 4-6, 6-0
05.10.2026Andrea Paolini W6-2, 6-1
04.10.2026Aleksandar Konstantinov W6-2, 6-3
28.09.2026David Tixhon L6-1, 6-3
27.09.2026Mikhail Osipov W6-0, 6-0

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentGeorge LazarovMattia Nannelli
Alexander Vasilev 0-1
L 6-1
1-0
W 6-4, 6-3

George Lazarov vs Mattia Nannelli: quick answers

Who won George Lazarov vs Mattia Nannelli?

George Lazarov beat Mattia Nannelli 6-0, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between George Lazarov and Mattia Nannelli?

George Lazarov leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 11, 2026, won by George Lazarov 6-0, 6-1 at Bulgaria Burgas.

Who is in better form, George Lazarov or Mattia Nannelli?

George Lazarov is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 5 Wins). Mattia Nannelli is 7-3 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate George Lazarov and Mattia Nannelli?

George Lazarov is rated 6419 (ATP #727) and Mattia Nannelli is rated 6250 (ATP #1365). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for George Lazarov vs Mattia Nannelli?

George Lazarov is priced at -588 and Mattia Nannelli at +328, which implies a 85% and 23% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.