Matthew William Donald vs Gabriele Pennaforti
Updated
Matthew William Donald beat Gabriele Pennaforti 6-2, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Matthew William Donald leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Donald is 9-1 in their last 10, Pennaforti 4-6.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Matthew William Donald a 79% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -9 pts
Model minus book: -1 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Matthew William Donald at -714 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Matthew William Donald | Gabriele Pennaforti | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6583 | 6390 |
| Tour rank | ATP #380 | ATP #820 |
| Last 10 matches | 9-1 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 12-2 | 4-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 65-31 | 10-17 |
| UTR | 14.16 | 13.5 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1459 | – |
| Best surface | Clay | – |
| Worst surface | Hard | – |
Head to head
Matthew William Donald leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Matthew William Donald | 6-2, 6-1 | Italy Florence |
Recent form
Matthew William Donald, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Filippo Romano | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Henry Searle | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 20.10.2026 | Carlos Sanchez Jover | W | 6-4, 5-7, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Javier Barranco Cosano | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 18.10.2026 | Gabriele Pennaforti | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 17.10.2026 | Giorgio Tabacco | W | 6-0, 3-1 |
| 16.10.2026 | Alexander Weis | W | 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Alexander Weis | W | 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Jonas Forejtek | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 14.10.2026 | Giovanni Oradini | W | 5-0 |
Gabriele Pennaforti, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Matthew William Donald | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 08.10.2026 | Laurent Lokoli | L | 7-5, 6-0 |
| 07.10.2026 | Ruben Hartig | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 05.10.2026 | Matteo Vavassori | W | 2-6, 6-4, 1-0 |
| 04.10.2026 | Alessandro Concu | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 29.09.2026 | Martin Van Der Meerschen | L | 6-0, 6-7, 7-5 |
| 23.09.2026 | Lorenzo Carboni | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 22.09.2026 | Nicholas David Ionel | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 14.09.2026 | Nicolas Parizzia | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 19.08.2026 | Thilo Behrmann | L | 6-1, 6-0 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Matthew William Donald | Gabriele Pennaforti |
|---|---|---|
| David Eichenseher | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-1 |
| Giannicola Misasi | 1-0 W 6-3, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-1 |
| Laurent Lokoli | 0-1 L 3-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 7-5, 6-0 |
| Nicolas Parizzia | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-1 |
0-1 L 4-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-17: ATP Florence (Italy), model gave Matthew William Donald 79% at -714
Matthew William Donald vs Gabriele Pennaforti: quick answers
Who won Matthew William Donald vs Gabriele Pennaforti?
Matthew William Donald beat Gabriele Pennaforti 6-2, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Matthew William Donald and Gabriele Pennaforti?
Matthew William Donald leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 18, 2026, won by Matthew William Donald 6-2, 6-1 at Italy Florence.
Who is in better form, Matthew William Donald or Gabriele Pennaforti?
Matthew William Donald is 9-1 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Gabriele Pennaforti is 4-6 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Matthew William Donald and Gabriele Pennaforti?
Matthew William Donald is rated 6583 (ATP #380) and Gabriele Pennaforti is rated 6390 (ATP #820). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Matthew William Donald vs Gabriele Pennaforti?
Matthew William Donald is priced at -714 and Gabriele Pennaforti at +362, which implies a 88% and 22% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.