Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Gabriele Maria Noce
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Gabriele Maria Noce, giving them a 55% chance to win against Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini (45%). Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Mordini is 5-5 in their last 10, Noce 4-6.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Gabriele Maria Noce a 55% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -7 pts
Model minus book: -2 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Gabriele Maria Noce at -130 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | Gabriele Maria Noce | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6350 | 6330 |
| Tour rank | ATP #955 | ATP #1034 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 38-31 | 37-28 |
| UTR | 13.16 | 13.19 |
Head to head
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | 7-5, 6-2 | Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula X |
Recent form
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Matteo Gribaldo | L | 1-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Fausto Tabacco | W | 6-3, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Gabriele Maria Noce | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Fausto Tabacco | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 08.10.2026 | Giannicola Misasi | L | 6-3, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 06.10.2026 | Jannik Maute | W | 6-1, 4-0 |
| 21.09.2026 | Lorenzo Carboni | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 16.09.2026 | Alexander Weis | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.09.2026 | Gabriele Crivellaro | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 14.09.2026 | Mattias Pisanu | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
Gabriele Maria Noce, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | L | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 08.10.2026 | Stefano Dagostino | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 07.10.2026 | Giammarco Gandolfi | W | 6-7, 6-2, 6-3 |
| 20.09.2026 | Lorenzo Rottoli | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 16.09.2026 | Garrett Johns | L | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 15.09.2026 | Niccolo Ciavarella | W | 2-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 12.09.2026 | John Sperle | L | 4-6, 7-5, 6-1 |
| 10.09.2026 | Heorhii Shylov | W | 4-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 09.09.2026 | Pietro Marino | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 04.09.2026 | Manuel Mazza | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | Gabriele Maria Noce |
|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Carboni | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-1, 4-6, 7-6 |
| Mattias Pisanu | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-1 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-4 |
| Michele Mecarelli | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 7-6 |
| Petr Nesterov | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-7, 6-4 |
| Stefano Dagostino | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Gabriele Maria Noce: quick answers
Who will win Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Gabriele Maria Noce?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Gabriele Maria Noce, giving them a 55% chance to win against Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini (45%).
What is the head-to-head record between Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini and Gabriele Maria Noce?
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini 7-5, 6-2 at Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula X.
Who is in better form, Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini or Gabriele Maria Noce?
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Gabriele Maria Noce is 4-6 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini and Gabriele Maria Noce?
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini is rated 6350 (ATP #955) and Gabriele Maria Noce is rated 6330 (ATP #1034). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Gabriele Maria Noce?
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini is priced at -110 and Gabriele Maria Noce at -130, which implies a 52% and 57% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.