Stefano Dagostino vs Gabriele Maria Noce

ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula VIII (Italy), Clay. Wednesday, October 7, 2026, 02:00.

Updated

Stefano Dagostino beat Gabriele Maria Noce 6-4, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Stefano Dagostino leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Dagostino is 5-5 in their last 10, Noce 4-6.

Result: Stefano Dagostino beat Gabriele Maria Noce 6-4, 6-4. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Stefano Dagostino a 57% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
57%
Book
67%

Model minus book: -9 pts

Model
43%
Book
43%

Model minus book: 0 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Stefano Dagostino at -200 · Model track record

Player comparison

Stefano DagostinoGabriele Maria Noce
Tennis Gauge rating64146330
Tour rankATP #744ATP #1034
Last 10 matches5-54-6
Last 30 days3-24-3
Current streak1 Loss2 Losses
Season record44-2737-28
UTR13.6613.19

Head to head

Stefano Dagostino leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
08.10.2026Stefano Dagostino6-4, 6-4Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula VIII

Recent form

Stefano Dagostino, last 10

DateOpponentScore
09.10.2026Andrey Chepelev L7-6, 3-6, 6-3
08.10.2026Gabriele Maria Noce W6-4, 6-4
06.10.2026Gianmarco Ferrari L2-6, 7-6
22.09.2026Lukas Neumayer L6-3, 7-6
21.09.2026Lorenzo Rottoli W6-3, 6-3
20.09.2026Niccolo Ciavarella W6-2, 7-6
13.09.2026Giuseppe La Vela L6-1, 6-3
04.09.2026Alexandre Aubriot L6-3, 1-6, 6-0
03.09.2026Richard Lacis W6-3, 6-3
02.09.2026Marko Nikolic W6-4, 6-4

Gabriele Maria Noce, last 10

DateOpponentScore
20.10.2026Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini L7-5, 6-2
08.10.2026Stefano Dagostino L6-4, 6-4
07.10.2026Giammarco Gandolfi W6-7, 6-2, 6-3
20.09.2026Lorenzo Rottoli L6-3, 6-4
16.09.2026Garrett Johns L7-5, 6-1
15.09.2026Niccolo Ciavarella W2-6, 6-3, 7-6
12.09.2026John Sperle L4-6, 7-5, 6-1
10.09.2026Heorhii Shylov W4-6, 6-4, 6-2
09.09.2026Pietro Marino W6-4, 6-2
04.09.2026Manuel Mazza L7-5, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentStefano DagostinoGabriele Maria Noce
Carl Emil Overbeck 0-1
L 6-3, 4-6, 6-1
0-1
L 7-6, 6-3
Carles Cordoba 1-0
W 5-7, 6-3, 6-0
0-1
L 6-4, 6-7, 6-1
Lorenzo Rottoli 1-0
W 6-3, 6-3
0-1
L 6-3, 6-4
Lucio Ratti 0-1
L 6-2, 7-6
0-1
L 6-1, 6-3
Manuel Mazza 0-1
L 3-6, 6-4, 6-3
1-1
L 7-5, 6-4, W 1-6, 7-6, 6-4
Marko Nikolic 1-0
W 6-4, 6-4
1-0
W 6-4, 6-0
Michele Mecarelli 1-0
W 6-3, 6-4
1-0
W 6-3, 7-6
Niccolo Ciavarella 1-0
W 6-2, 7-6
1-0
W 2-6, 6-3, 7-6
Pietro Pampanin 1-0
W 7-5, 6-4
1-0
W 4-6, 7-6, 6-4
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini 1-0
W 6-2, 6-2
0-1
L 7-5, 6-2

Stefano Dagostino vs Gabriele Maria Noce: quick answers

Who won Stefano Dagostino vs Gabriele Maria Noce?

Stefano Dagostino beat Gabriele Maria Noce 6-4, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Stefano Dagostino and Gabriele Maria Noce?

Stefano Dagostino leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 8, 2026, won by Stefano Dagostino 6-4, 6-4 at Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula VIII.

Who is in better form, Stefano Dagostino or Gabriele Maria Noce?

Stefano Dagostino is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Gabriele Maria Noce is 4-6 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Stefano Dagostino and Gabriele Maria Noce?

Stefano Dagostino is rated 6414 (ATP #744) and Gabriele Maria Noce is rated 6330 (ATP #1034). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Stefano Dagostino vs Gabriele Maria Noce?

Stefano Dagostino is priced at -200 and Gabriele Maria Noce at +135, which implies a 67% and 43% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.