Gabriele Bosio vs Valerio Bracci

ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula X (Italy), Clay. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 04:30.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Gabriele Bosio, giving them a 71% chance to win against Valerio Bracci (29%). Gabriele Bosio leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Bosio is 4-6 in their last 10, Bracci 0-5. At +448, the odds imply 18% for Valerio Bracci, below the model's 29%.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Gabriele Bosio a 71% favorite. At +448 the sportsbook implies 18% for Valerio Bracci, 11 points below the model's 29%.

Model
71%
Book
92%

Model minus book: -21 pts

Model
29%
Book
18%

Model minus book: +11 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Valerio Bracci at +448 · Model track record

Player comparison

Gabriele BosioValerio Bracci
Tennis Gauge rating63776161
Tour rankATP #869ATP #1811
Last 10 matches4-60-5
Last 30 days3-30-2
Current streak1 Loss5 Losses
Season record42-330-5
UTR13.3913.11

Head to head

Gabriele Bosio leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
19.10.2026Gabriele Bosio6-4, 7-5Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula X

Recent form

Gabriele Bosio, last 10

DateOpponentScore
21.10.2026Luis Carlos Alvarez L6-1, 6-2
19.10.2026Valerio Bracci W6-4, 7-5
13.10.2026Giovanni Oradini L5-7, 6-4, 6-3
01.10.2026Stijn Paardekooper L6-4, 3-6, 6-2
30.09.2026Karol Malirz W6-3, 6-4
29.09.2026Leonardo Angeloni W6-4, 6-3
23.09.2026Edoardo Cherie Ligniere L7-6, 6-1
13.09.2026Gerard Campana Lee L6-3, 6-1
06.09.2026Manuel Mazza L5-7, 6-4, 6-3
05.09.2026Lorenzo Berto W2-6, 6-3, 6-4

Valerio Bracci, last 5

DateOpponentScore
19.10.2026Gabriele Bosio L6-4, 7-5
04.10.2026Alexander Chang L6-0, 7-5
21.09.2026Eric Vanshelboim L7-5, 6-4
15.09.2026Giannicola Misasi L6-1, 6-1
09.07.2026Pedro Vives Marcos L6-3, 6-3

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentGabriele BosioValerio Bracci
Giannicola Misasi 0-1
L 4-6, 6-3, 6-3
0-1
L 6-1, 6-1

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-19: ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula X (Italy), model gave Valerio Bracci 29% at +493
  • 2026-10-18: ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula X (Italy), model gave Valerio Bracci 29% at +493

Gabriele Bosio vs Valerio Bracci: quick answers

Who will win Gabriele Bosio vs Valerio Bracci?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Gabriele Bosio, giving them a 71% chance to win against Valerio Bracci (29%).

What is the head-to-head record between Gabriele Bosio and Valerio Bracci?

Gabriele Bosio leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Gabriele Bosio 6-4, 7-5 at Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula X.

Who is in better form, Gabriele Bosio or Valerio Bracci?

Gabriele Bosio is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Valerio Bracci is 0-5 (current streak: 5 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Gabriele Bosio and Valerio Bracci?

Gabriele Bosio is rated 6377 (ATP #869) and Valerio Bracci is rated 6161 (ATP #1811). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Gabriele Bosio vs Valerio Bracci?

Gabriele Bosio is priced at -1111 and Valerio Bracci at +448, which implies a 92% and 18% chance to win. The model rates Valerio Bracci 11 points higher than the odds do (29% vs 18%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.