Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot

ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), Indoors. Saturday, October 17, 2026, 11:00.

Updated

Gabriel Diallo beat Harold Mayot 7-6, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Gabriel Diallo leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Diallo is 4-6 in their last 10, Mayot 7-3.

Result: Gabriel Diallo beat Harold Mayot 7-6, 6-2. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Gabriel Diallo a 71% favorite. At -125 the sportsbook implies 56% for Gabriel Diallo, 15 points below the model's 71%.

Model
71%
Book
56%

Model minus book: +15 pts

Model
29%
Book
52%

Model minus book: -23 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Gabriel Diallo at -125 · Model track record

Player comparison

Gabriel DialloHarold Mayot
Tennis Gauge rating68326703
Tour rankATP #95ATP #211
Last 10 matches4-67-3
Last 30 days0-08-3
Current streak1 Loss2 Wins
Season record12-2133-19
UTR15.4814.56
Elo (52 weeks)17041628
Best surfaceGrassHard
Worst surfaceClayClay

Head to head

Gabriel Diallo leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
17.10.2026Gabriel Diallo7-6, 6-2Kazakhstan Almaty

Recent form

Gabriel Diallo, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Francesco Maestrelli L6-4, 2-2
26.10.2026Nishesh Basavareddy W6-3, 7-5
18.10.2026Rei Sakamoto L2-6, 6-4, 6-4
17.10.2026Harold Mayot W7-6, 6-2
05.08.2026Luciano Darderi L6-4, 2-3
04.08.2026Kyrian Jacquet W6-7, 6-3, 6-2
28.07.2026Tristan Boyer L7-5, 6-2
02.07.2026Lorenzo Sonego L7-6, 4-6, 7-6, 6-7, 6-2
30.06.2026Benjamin Bonzi W1-6, 4-6, 7-6, 6-3, 3-1
25.06.2026Jack Draper L6-1, 6-4

Harold Mayot, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Kaichi Uchida W6-2, 6-3
27.10.2026Tianhui Zhang W6-3, 6-4
17.10.2026Gabriel Diallo L7-6, 6-2
02.10.2026Clement Chidekh L3-6, 6-2, 2-0
01.10.2026Tristan Schoolkate W6-4, 2-6, 6-4
30.09.2026Niels Visker W6-3, 7-5
27.09.2026Titouan Droguet L6-3, 7-5
26.09.2026Murphy Cassone W5-7, 6-2, 4-2
25.09.2026Jesper De Jong W6-3, 4-6, 7-5
24.09.2026Edas Butvilas W6-4, 6-3

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentGabriel DialloHarold Mayot
Gustavo Heide 0-1
L 7-6, 3-6, 7-6
1-0
W 6-3, 6-2
Jesper De Jong 1-0
W 6-4, 7-6
1-0
W 6-3, 4-6, 7-5

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-16: ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), model gave Gabriel Diallo 71% at -125

Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot: quick answers

Who won Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot?

Gabriel Diallo beat Harold Mayot 7-6, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Gabriel Diallo and Harold Mayot?

Gabriel Diallo leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 17, 2026, won by Gabriel Diallo 7-6, 6-2 at Kazakhstan Almaty.

Who is in better form, Gabriel Diallo or Harold Mayot?

Gabriel Diallo is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Harold Mayot is 7-3 (current streak: 2 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Gabriel Diallo and Harold Mayot?

Gabriel Diallo is rated 6832 (ATP #95) and Harold Mayot is rated 6703 (ATP #211). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot?

Gabriel Diallo is priced at -125 and Harold Mayot at -108, which implies a 56% and 52% chance to win. The model rates Gabriel Diallo 15 points higher than the odds do (71% vs 56%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.