Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli
Updated
Franco Roncadelli beat Valerio Aboian 5-7, 6-0, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Aboian is 6-4 in their last 10, Roncadelli 4-6.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Franco Roncadelli a 69% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -2 pts
Model minus book: -5 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Franco Roncadelli at -286 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Valerio Aboian | Franco Roncadelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6588 | 6624 |
| Tour rank | ATP #372 | ATP #316 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 56-34 | 36-27 |
| UTR | 13.82 | 14.27 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1426 | 1416 |
| Best surface | Clay | Clay |
| Worst surface | Hard | Grass |
Head to head
Tied 1-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Valerio Aboian | 6-3, 2-6, 6-2 | Ecuador Guayaquil |
| 13.10.2026 | Franco Roncadelli | 5-7, 6-0, 6-3 | Bolivia Santa Cruz de la Sierra |
Recent form
Valerio Aboian, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Diego Dedura Palomero | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 27.10.2026 | Franco Roncadelli | W | 6-3, 2-6, 6-2 |
| 25.10.2026 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 24.10.2026 | Felipe Meligeni Alves | W | 3-6, 6-3, 7-5 |
| 23.10.2026 | Miguel Tobon | W | 1-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Matias Soto | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 21.10.2026 | Facundo Mena | W | 2-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Franco Roncadelli | L | 5-7, 6-0, 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 24.09.2026 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
Franco Roncadelli, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Valerio Aboian | L | 6-3, 2-6, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Juan Manuel La Serna | L | 6-1, 6-7, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | W | 6-4, 2-6, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Valerio Aboian | W | 5-7, 6-0, 6-3 |
| 06.10.2026 | Tomas Barrios Vera | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 30.09.2026 | Guido Ivan Justo | L | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 24.09.2026 | Pedro Boscardin Dias | L | 0-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
| 22.09.2026 | Bruno Fernandez | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 18.09.2026 | Kristjan Tamm | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 24.08.2026 | Elias Ymer | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Valerio Aboian | Franco Roncadelli |
|---|---|---|
| Bruno Fernandez | 0-1 L 6-3, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-0 |
| Christopher Li | 1-0 W 6-3, 4-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-7, 6-1, 6-1 |
| Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 1-1 L 6-1, 6-4, W 1-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
| Hernan Casanova | 1-0 W 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
| Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 2-0 W 6-4, 6-3, W 6-1, 2-6, 6-0 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-1 |
| Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
1-0 W 4-6, 6-1, 6-2 |
| Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-4, 2-6, 6-3 |
| Juan Manuel La Serna | 0-2 L 4-6, 6-1, 6-0, L 7-6, 6-2 |
0-2 L 6-1, 6-7, 6-4, L 7-5, 2-6, 6-3 |
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 2-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 0-2 L 7-6, 6-3, L 6-3, 6-2 |
2-0 W 6-0, 7-6, W 1-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| Maximo Zeitune | 4-2 W 3-6, 6-3, 6-3, L 6-3, 6-3, W 4-6, 6-4, 6-0, L 6-4, 7-6, W 1-6, 6-4, 6-4, W 7-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-1 |
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | 0-1 L 7-6, 7-6 |
0-1 L 0-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
| Pedro Sakamoto | 1-0 W 7-6, 7-6 |
1-1 W 7-6, 6-4, L 6-4, 1-6, 6-3 |
| Samuel Heredia | 0-1 L 2-6, 6-1, 7-5 |
1-0 W 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| Valentin Basel | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-1 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-12: ATP Santa Cruz de la Sierra (Bolivia), model gave Valerio Aboian 31% at +208
Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli: quick answers
Who won Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli?
Franco Roncadelli beat Valerio Aboian 5-7, 6-0, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Valerio Aboian and Franco Roncadelli?
They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 27, 2026, won by Valerio Aboian 6-3, 2-6, 6-2 at Ecuador Guayaquil.
Who is in better form, Valerio Aboian or Franco Roncadelli?
Valerio Aboian is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Franco Roncadelli is 4-6 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Valerio Aboian and Franco Roncadelli?
Valerio Aboian is rated 6588 (ATP #372) and Franco Roncadelli is rated 6624 (ATP #316). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli?
Valerio Aboian is priced at +208 and Franco Roncadelli at -286, which implies a 32% and 74% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.