Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli
Updated
Juan Manuel La Serna beat Franco Roncadelli 6-1, 6-7, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Franco Roncadelli at 56%. Juan Manuel La Serna leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Serna is 6-4 in their last 10, Roncadelli 4-6.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Franco Roncadelli a 56% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -4 pts
Model minus book: -4 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Franco Roncadelli at -149 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Juan Manuel La Serna | Franco Roncadelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6633 | 6624 |
| Tour rank | ATP #306 | ATP #316 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 2-0 | 4-3 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 45-24 | 36-27 |
| UTR | 14.27 | 14.27 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1462 | 1416 |
| Best surface | Clay | Clay |
| Worst surface | Hard | Grass |
Head to head
Juan Manuel La Serna leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Juan Manuel La Serna | 6-1, 6-7, 6-4 | Bolivia Santa Cruz de la Sierra |
| 16.05.2026 | Juan Manuel La Serna | 7-5, 2-6, 6-3 | Argentina Cordoba |
Recent form
Juan Manuel La Serna, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Nick Hardt | L | 6-3, 3-6, 6-1 |
| 23.10.2026 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | L | 6-4, 4-6, 7-5 |
| 21.10.2026 | Juan Bautista Torres | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Hugo Dellien | W | 6-3, 2-0 |
| 17.10.2026 | Hugo Dellien | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Franco Roncadelli | W | 6-1, 6-7, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Guido Ivan Justo | W | 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Hernan Casanova | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 10.09.2026 | Lukas Neumayer | L | 7-5, 6-7, 6-1 |
| 08.09.2026 | Filip Cristian Jianu | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
Franco Roncadelli, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Valerio Aboian | L | 6-3, 2-6, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Juan Manuel La Serna | L | 6-1, 6-7, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | W | 6-4, 2-6, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Valerio Aboian | W | 5-7, 6-0, 6-3 |
| 06.10.2026 | Tomas Barrios Vera | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 30.09.2026 | Guido Ivan Justo | L | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 24.09.2026 | Pedro Boscardin Dias | L | 0-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
| 22.09.2026 | Bruno Fernandez | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 18.09.2026 | Kristjan Tamm | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 24.08.2026 | Elias Ymer | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Juan Manuel La Serna | Franco Roncadelli |
|---|---|---|
| Alvaro Guillen Meza | 1-0 W 1-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
1-1 W 4-6, 6-2, 6-4, L 6-4, 6-4 |
| Bruno Fernandez | 1-0 W 6-2, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-0 |
| Conner Huertas Del Pino | 0-1 L 6-4, 7-5 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-2 |
| Daniel Dutra Da Silva | 1-0 W 6-0, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-1, 3-6, 6-4 |
| Eduardo Ribeiro | 1-0 W 6-3, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
| Guido Ivan Justo | 2-1 W 6-1, L 6-4, 6-3, W 7-6, 2-6, 6-2 |
1-2 L 7-6, 6-2, W 6-1, 6-4, L 6-2, 3-1 |
| Hernan Casanova | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 0-1 L 6-4, 4-6, 7-5 |
2-0 W 6-0, 7-6, W 1-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| Maximo Zeitune | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-1 |
| Valerio Aboian | 2-0 W 4-6, 6-1, 6-0, W 7-6, 6-2 |
1-1 L 6-3, 2-6, 6-2, W 5-7, 6-0, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-15: ATP Santa Cruz de la Sierra (Bolivia), model gave Juan Manuel La Serna 44% at +107
Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli: quick answers
Who won Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli?
Juan Manuel La Serna beat Franco Roncadelli 6-1, 6-7, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Franco Roncadelli at 56%.
What is the head-to-head record between Juan Manuel La Serna and Franco Roncadelli?
Juan Manuel La Serna leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Juan Manuel La Serna 6-1, 6-7, 6-4 at Bolivia Santa Cruz de la Sierra.
Who is in better form, Juan Manuel La Serna or Franco Roncadelli?
Juan Manuel La Serna is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Franco Roncadelli is 4-6 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Juan Manuel La Serna and Franco Roncadelli?
Juan Manuel La Serna is rated 6633 (ATP #306) and Franco Roncadelli is rated 6624 (ATP #316). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli?
Juan Manuel La Serna is priced at +107 and Franco Roncadelli at -149, which implies a 48% and 60% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.