Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha

ATP Maia (XI) (Portugal), Indoors. Monday, October 12, 2026, 08:00.

Updated

Pol Martin Tiffon beat Francisco Rocha 6-4, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Pol Martin Tiffon leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Tiffon is 5-5 in their last 10, Rocha 3-7.

Result: Pol Martin Tiffon beat Francisco Rocha 6-4, 6-2. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Pol Martin Tiffon a 90% favorite. At -526 the sportsbook implies 84% for Pol Martin Tiffon, 6 points below the model's 90%.

Model
90%
Book
84%

Model minus book: +6 pts

Model
10%
Book
20%

Model minus book: -10 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Pol Martin Tiffon at -526 · Model track record

Player comparison

Pol Martin TiffonFrancisco Rocha
Tennis Gauge rating66766444
Tour rankATP #250ATP #654
Last 10 matches5-53-7
Last 30 days2-31-4
Current streak1 Win5 Losses
Season record34-2617-32
UTR14.513.53
Elo (52 weeks)1503–
Best surfaceHard–
Worst surfaceGrass–

Head to head

Pol Martin Tiffon leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
12.10.2026Pol Martin Tiffon6-4, 6-2Portugal Maia

Recent form

Pol Martin Tiffon, last 10

DateOpponentScore
20.10.2026Andrea Pellegrino W1-3
14.10.2026Zsombor Piros L6-3, 6-2
12.10.2026Francisco Rocha W6-4, 6-2
07.10.2026Tiago Pereira L6-3, 6-4
29.09.2026Laurent Lokoli L6-7, 6-3, 7-5
25.09.2026Max Alcala Gurri L5-2
23.09.2026Tommaso Compagnucci W6-1, 7-6
21.09.2026Benjamin Hassan W1-6, 6-4, 6-1
07.9.2026Facundo Diaz Acosta L6-3, 2-6, 6-2
02.09.2026Oleksandr Ovcharenko L6-7, 6-4, 6-1

Francisco Rocha, last 10

DateOpponentScore
18.10.2026Patrick Schoen L7-6, 4-6, 7-6
12.10.2026Pol Martin Tiffon L6-4, 6-2
04.10.2026Oleksii Krutykh L6-7, 6-2, 6-2
27.09.2026Lui Maxted L4-6, 6-3, 6-1
24.09.2026Michael Agwi L6-2, 6-2
23.09.2026Salvador Monteiro W6-3, 6-2
16.09.2026Benjamin Pietri L6-1, 7-5
11.09.2026Jack Anthrop L6-2, 6-2
10.09.2026Joao Dinis Silva W6-3, 6-4
08.09.2026Julien Penzlin W6-2, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentPol Martin TiffonFrancisco Rocha
Philip Henning 1-0
W 4-6, 7-5, 2-0
0-1
L 6-1, 6-4
Tiago Pereira 0-1
L 6-3, 6-4
0-1
L 6-4, 7-5

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-11: ATP Maia (XI) (Portugal), model gave Pol Martin Tiffon 90% at -526

Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha: quick answers

Who won Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha?

Pol Martin Tiffon beat Francisco Rocha 6-4, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Pol Martin Tiffon and Francisco Rocha?

Pol Martin Tiffon leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 12, 2026, won by Pol Martin Tiffon 6-4, 6-2 at Portugal Maia.

Who is in better form, Pol Martin Tiffon or Francisco Rocha?

Pol Martin Tiffon is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Win). Francisco Rocha is 3-7 (current streak: 5 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Pol Martin Tiffon and Francisco Rocha?

Pol Martin Tiffon is rated 6676 (ATP #250) and Francisco Rocha is rated 6444 (ATP #654). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha?

Pol Martin Tiffon is priced at -526 and Francisco Rocha at +400, which implies a 84% and 20% chance to win. The model rates Pol Martin Tiffon 6 points higher than the odds do (90% vs 84%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.