Martin Damm vs Francisco Cerundolo
Updated
Francisco Cerundolo beat Martin Damm 6-4, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Francisco Cerundolo leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Damm is 5-5 in their last 10, Cerundolo 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Francisco Cerundolo a 72% favorite. At -189 the sportsbook implies 65% for Francisco Cerundolo, 7 points below the model's 72%.
Model minus book: -12 pts
Model minus book: +7 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Francisco Cerundolo at -189 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Martin Damm | Francisco Cerundolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6840 | 6913 |
| Tour rank | ATP #88 | ATP #29 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 3-4 | 3-3 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 39-29 | 39-27 |
| UTR | 15.58 | 15.94 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1684 | 1890 |
| Best surface | Grass | Clay |
| Worst surface | Clay | Hard |
Head to head
Francisco Cerundolo leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10.2026 | Francisco Cerundolo | 6-4, 7-6 | Belgium Brussels |
Recent form
Martin Damm, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Ugo Blanchet | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 27.10.2026 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Francisco Cerundolo | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 19.10.2026 | Yannick Hanfmann | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 18.10.2026 | Andrea Guerrieri | L | 7-6, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 17.10.2026 | Buvaysar Gadamauri | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 05.10.2026 | Pavel Kotov | L | 7-6, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 28.09.2026 | Arthur Fils | L | 2-6, 6-1, 6-1 |
| 26.09.2026 | Hubert Hurkacz | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 24.09.2026 | Shintaro Mochizuki | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
Francisco Cerundolo, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Cameron Norrie | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 24.10.2026 | Tallon Griekspoor | L | 2-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 23.10.2026 | Clement Chidekh | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Martin Damm | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 11.10.2026 | Jakub Mensik | L | 6-3, 3-6, 6-2 |
| 09.10.2026 | Roman Safiullin | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 04.10.2026 | Daniil Medvedev | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 03.10.2026 | Jakub Mensik | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 01.10.2026 | Botic Van De Zandschulp | W | 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 25.09.2026 | Casper Ruud | L | 6-7, 6-4, 10-8 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Martin Damm | Francisco Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Alex De Minaur | 0-1 L 7-6, 7-5 |
0-1 L 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| Alexander Zverev | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-4 |
0-4 L 5-7, 6-0, 6-2, L 6-1, 6-2, L 6-2, 6-4, 6-4, L 6-4, 7-6 |
| Brandon Nakashima | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-2 |
1-1 L 13-11, 10-18, 16-15, 12-11, W 6-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
| Daniil Medvedev | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
1-1 L 7-6, 6-3, W 6-0, 4-6, 7-5 |
| Jakub Mensik | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
1-1 L 6-3, 3-6, 6-2, W 6-3, 6-3 |
| Jaume Munar | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
0-2 L 6-1, 6-4, 6-3, L 3-6, 7-5, 6-4 |
| Jenson Brooksby | 0-1 L 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-0, 6-4 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-4 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
1-1 W 6-1, 7-5, L 6-3, 6-4 |
| Zachary Svajda | 1-0 W 6-3, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-4, 3-6, 4-6, 6-3 |
Martin Damm vs Francisco Cerundolo: quick answers
Who won Martin Damm vs Francisco Cerundolo?
Francisco Cerundolo beat Martin Damm 6-4, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Martin Damm and Francisco Cerundolo?
Francisco Cerundolo leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 21, 2026, won by Francisco Cerundolo 6-4, 7-6 at Belgium Brussels.
Who is in better form, Martin Damm or Francisco Cerundolo?
Martin Damm is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Francisco Cerundolo is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Martin Damm and Francisco Cerundolo?
Martin Damm is rated 6840 (ATP #88) and Francisco Cerundolo is rated 6913 (ATP #29). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Martin Damm vs Francisco Cerundolo?
Martin Damm is priced at +151 and Francisco Cerundolo at -189, which implies a 40% and 65% chance to win. The model rates Francisco Cerundolo 7 points higher than the odds do (72% vs 65%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.