Francesco Passaro vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

ATP Maia (XI) (Portugal), Indoors. Thursday, October 15, 2026, 04:30.

Updated

Francesco Passaro beat Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 7-6, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo at 56%. Francesco Passaro leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Passaro is 10-0 in their last 10, Izquierdo 7-3.

Result: Francesco Passaro beat Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 7-6, 7-6. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo a 56% favorite. At +144 the sportsbook implies 41% for Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo, 15 points below the model's 56%.

Model
44%
Book
66%

Model minus book: -22 pts

Model
56%
Book
41%

Model minus book: +15 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo at +144 · Model track record

Player comparison

Francesco PassaroNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Tennis Gauge rating67456717
Tour rankATP #162ATP #197
Last 10 matches10-07-3
Last 30 days6-16-1
Current streak11 Wins2 Losses
Season record33-2240-30
UTR14.4414.77
Elo (52 weeks)15521550
Best surfaceHardClay
Worst surfaceGrassHard

Head to head

Francesco Passaro leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
15.10.2026Francesco Passaro7-6, 7-6Portugal Maia

Recent form

Francesco Passaro, last 10

DateOpponentScore
20.10.2026Gastao Elias W6-2, 6-2
18.10.2026Zsombor Piros W4-6, 6-3, 6-2
17.10.2026Matej Dodig W5-7, 6-1, 6-4
16.10.2026Marco Trungelliti W2-6, 7-5, 7-6
15.10.2026Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo W7-6, 7-6
14.10.2026Tiago Torres W6-3, 6-0
11.10.2026Jonas Forejtek W6-3, 6-7, 7-6
10.10.2026Yanaki Milev W6-2, 6-1
09.10.2026Enrico Dalla Valle W6-3, 6-4
08.10.2026Carlo Alberto Caniato W4-6, 6-3, 6-4

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo, last 10

DateOpponentScore
20.10.2026Benjamin Hassan L6-3, 1-6, 6-3
15.10.2026Francesco Passaro L7-6, 7-6
13.10.2026Andrej Martin W6-4, 6-4
08.10.2026Tiago Pereira L7-5, 6-3
05.10.2026Goncalo Marques W6-3, 6-4
20.09.2026Thiago Monteiro W4-6, 6-3, 7-6
19.09.2026Luka Mikrut W6-3, 6-4
18.09.2026Zdenek Kolar W6-1, 6-3
17.09.2026Daniel Elahi Galan W6-0, 6-3
15.09.2026Dali Blanch W6-2, 6-2

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentFrancesco PassaroNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 0-1
L 6-3, 3-3
0-1
L 6-4, 6-1
Enrico Dalla Valle 1-1
W 6-3, 6-4, L 6-2, 6-4
1-0
W 6-0, 6-3
Juan Manuel La Serna 0-1
L 6-4, 7-5
1-0
W 6-4, 6-1
Oriol Roca Batalla 3-1
W 6-1, 7-6, W 6-4, 6-1, W 7-6, 6-4, L 6-4, 6-0
1-0
W 6-4, 6-4
Tom Gentzsch 1-0
W 7-6, 6-4
1-0
W 3-6, 6-4, 6-1
Tristan Boyer 0-1
L 6-7, 6-4, 6-2
0-1
L 6-2, 2-6, 7-6
Vitaliy Sachko 1-0
W 7-6, 6-2
1-0
W 6-7, 7-5, 6-4

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-14: ATP Maia (XI) (Portugal), model gave Francesco Passaro 44% at -192

Francesco Passaro vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo: quick answers

Who won Francesco Passaro vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo?

Francesco Passaro beat Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 7-6, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo at 56%.

What is the head-to-head record between Francesco Passaro and Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo?

Francesco Passaro leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 15, 2026, won by Francesco Passaro 7-6, 7-6 at Portugal Maia.

Who is in better form, Francesco Passaro or Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo?

Francesco Passaro is 10-0 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 11 Wins). Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo is 7-3 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Francesco Passaro and Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo?

Francesco Passaro is rated 6745 (ATP #162) and Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo is rated 6717 (ATP #197). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Francesco Passaro vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo?

Francesco Passaro is priced at -192 and Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo at +144, which implies a 66% and 41% chance to win. The model rates Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 15 points higher than the odds do (56% vs 41%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.