Francesco Passaro vs Matej Dodig
Updated
Francesco Passaro beat Matej Dodig 5-7, 6-1, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Matej Dodig at 57%. Francesco Passaro leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Passaro is 10-0 in their last 10, Dodig 8-2.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Matej Dodig a 57% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -1 pts
Model minus book: -5 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Matej Dodig at -164 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Francesco Passaro | Matej Dodig | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6745 | 6762 |
| Tour rank | ATP #162 | ATP #145 |
| Last 10 matches | 10-0 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 8-1 | 8-1 |
| Current streak | 11 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 33-22 | 43-24 |
| UTR | 14.44 | 14.51 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1552 | 1615 |
| Best surface | Hard | Clay |
| Worst surface | Grass | Hard |
Head to head
Francesco Passaro leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10.2026 | Francesco Passaro | 5-7, 6-1, 6-4 | Portugal Maia |
Recent form
Francesco Passaro, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Gastao Elias | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 18.10.2026 | Zsombor Piros | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 17.10.2026 | Matej Dodig | W | 5-7, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Marco Trungelliti | W | 2-6, 7-5, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 14.10.2026 | Tiago Torres | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 11.10.2026 | Jonas Forejtek | W | 6-3, 6-7, 7-6 |
| 10.10.2026 | Yanaki Milev | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 09.10.2026 | Enrico Dalla Valle | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 08.10.2026 | Carlo Alberto Caniato | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
Matej Dodig, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Marco Trungelliti | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 21.10.2026 | Marco Cecchinato | W | 6-1, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Joao Domingues | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 17.10.2026 | Francesco Passaro | L | 5-7, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Tristan Boyer | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Lukas Neumayer | W | 6-4, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Pedro Martinez | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 11.10.2026 | Elmer Moller | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 10.10.2026 | Lukas Neumayer | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 09.10.2026 | Marvin Moeller | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Francesco Passaro | Matej Dodig |
|---|---|---|
| Elmer Moller | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-3 |
1-1 W 3-6, 6-3, 6-2, L 6-4, 7-6 |
| Enrico Dalla Valle | 1-1 W 6-3, 6-4, L 6-2, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-7, 6-2, 7-6 |
| Guy Den Ouden | 0-1 L 6-2, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-7, 6-0 |
| Henri Squire | 0-1 L 5-7, 6-4, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| Jonas Forejtek | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-7, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
| Juan Pablo Varillas | 0-1 L 7-5, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-3, 7-6 |
| Liam Broady | 0-1 L 6-3, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-3, 2-6, 6-4 |
| Marco Cecchinato | 1-0 W 5-7, 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-1, 4-6, 6-2 |
| Marco Trungelliti | 1-0 W 2-6, 7-5, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
| Martin Krumich | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
1-0 W 3-6, 6-4, 7-6 |
| Michele Ribecai | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-2 |
1-0 W 4-6, 7-5, 6-4 |
| Tristan Boyer | 0-1 L 6-7, 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-4, 7-6 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-16: ATP Maia (XI) (Portugal), model gave Francesco Passaro 38% at +131
Francesco Passaro vs Matej Dodig: quick answers
Who won Francesco Passaro vs Matej Dodig?
Francesco Passaro beat Matej Dodig 5-7, 6-1, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Matej Dodig at 57%.
What is the head-to-head record between Francesco Passaro and Matej Dodig?
Francesco Passaro leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 17, 2026, won by Francesco Passaro 5-7, 6-1, 6-4 at Portugal Maia.
Who is in better form, Francesco Passaro or Matej Dodig?
Francesco Passaro is 10-0 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 11 Wins). Matej Dodig is 8-2 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Francesco Passaro and Matej Dodig?
Francesco Passaro is rated 6745 (ATP #162) and Matej Dodig is rated 6762 (ATP #145). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Francesco Passaro vs Matej Dodig?
Francesco Passaro is priced at +131 and Matej Dodig at -164, which implies a 43% and 62% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.