Marco Trungelliti vs Francesco Passaro
Updated
Francesco Passaro beat Marco Trungelliti 2-6, 7-5, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Marco Trungelliti at 74%. Francesco Passaro leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Trungelliti is 6-4 in their last 10, Passaro 10-0.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Marco Trungelliti a 74% favorite. At -120 the sportsbook implies 55% for Marco Trungelliti, 20 points below the model's 74%.
Model minus book: +20 pts
Model minus book: -29 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Marco Trungelliti at -120 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Marco Trungelliti | Francesco Passaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6793 | 6745 |
| Tour rank | ATP #126 | ATP #162 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 10-0 |
| Last 30 days | 5-3 | 7-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 11 Wins |
| Season record | 41-32 | 33-22 |
| UTR | 15.4 | 14.44 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1650 | 1552 |
| Best surface | Clay | Hard |
| Worst surface | Grass | Grass |
Head to head
Francesco Passaro leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Francesco Passaro | 2-6, 7-5, 7-6 | Portugal Maia |
Recent form
Marco Trungelliti, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10.2026 | Alexander Ritschard | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 23.10.2026 | Matej Dodig | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 21.10.2026 | Carlo Alberto Caniato | W | 4-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Tiago Pereira | W | 7-6, 4-6, 6-1 |
| 16.10.2026 | Francesco Passaro | L | 2-6, 7-5, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Milos Karol | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 13.10.2026 | Thiago Monteiro | W | 4-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 07.10.2026 | Rei Sakamoto | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 29.09.2026 | Alex Molcan | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 28.09.2026 | Martin Landaluce | W | 6-1, 6-7, 7-6 |
Francesco Passaro, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Gastao Elias | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 18.10.2026 | Zsombor Piros | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 17.10.2026 | Matej Dodig | W | 5-7, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Marco Trungelliti | W | 2-6, 7-5, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 14.10.2026 | Tiago Torres | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 11.10.2026 | Jonas Forejtek | W | 6-3, 6-7, 7-6 |
| 10.10.2026 | Yanaki Milev | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 09.10.2026 | Enrico Dalla Valle | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 08.10.2026 | Carlo Alberto Caniato | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Marco Trungelliti | Francesco Passaro |
|---|---|---|
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | 1-0 W 4-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
2-0 W 4-6, 6-3, 6-4, W 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| Felix Gill | 1-0 W 6-3, 7-6 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-2 |
| Jonas Forejtek | 1-0 W 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-7, 7-6 |
| Marco Cecchinato | 2-0 W 7-6, 7-5, W 4-6, 6-0, 6-3 |
1-0 W 5-7, 6-4, 6-2 |
| Matej Dodig | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 5-7, 6-1, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-15: ATP Maia (XI) (Portugal), model gave Marco Trungelliti 74% at -120
Marco Trungelliti vs Francesco Passaro: quick answers
Who won Marco Trungelliti vs Francesco Passaro?
Francesco Passaro beat Marco Trungelliti 2-6, 7-5, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Marco Trungelliti at 74%.
What is the head-to-head record between Marco Trungelliti and Francesco Passaro?
Francesco Passaro leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Francesco Passaro 2-6, 7-5, 7-6 at Portugal Maia.
Who is in better form, Marco Trungelliti or Francesco Passaro?
Marco Trungelliti is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Francesco Passaro is 10-0 (current streak: 11 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Marco Trungelliti and Francesco Passaro?
Marco Trungelliti is rated 6793 (ATP #126) and Francesco Passaro is rated 6745 (ATP #162). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Marco Trungelliti vs Francesco Passaro?
Marco Trungelliti is priced at -120 and Francesco Passaro at -120, which implies a 55% and 55% chance to win. The model rates Marco Trungelliti 20 points higher than the odds do (74% vs 55%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.