Francesco Passaro vs Gastao Elias

ATP Lisbon (VI) (Portugal), Clay. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 07:40.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Francesco Passaro, giving them a 89% chance to win against Gastao Elias (11%). Francesco Passaro leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Passaro is 10-0 in their last 10, Elias 5-5.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Francesco Passaro a 89% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
89%
Book
93%

Model minus book: -5 pts

Model
11%
Book
16%

Model minus book: -4 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Francesco Passaro at -1429 · Model track record

Player comparison

Francesco PassaroGastao Elias
Tennis Gauge rating67456472
Tour rankATP #162ATP #584
Last 10 matches10-05-5
Last 30 days11-10-1
Current streak11 Wins1 Loss
Season record33-229-10
UTR14.4413.81
Elo (52 weeks)1661–
Best surfaceClay–
Worst surfaceGrass–

Head to head

Francesco Passaro leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
20.10.2026Francesco Passaro6-2, 6-2Portugal Lisbon

Recent form

Francesco Passaro, last 10

DateOpponentScore
20.10.2026Gastao Elias W6-2, 6-2
18.10.2026Zsombor Piros W4-6, 6-3, 6-2
17.10.2026Matej Dodig W5-7, 6-1, 6-4
16.10.2026Marco Trungelliti W2-6, 7-5, 7-6
15.10.2026Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo W7-6, 7-6
14.10.2026Tiago Torres W6-3, 6-0
11.10.2026Jonas Forejtek W6-3, 6-7, 7-6
10.10.2026Yanaki Milev W6-2, 6-1
09.10.2026Enrico Dalla Valle W6-3, 6-4
08.10.2026Carlo Alberto Caniato W4-6, 6-3, 6-4

Gastao Elias, last 10

DateOpponentScore
20.10.2026Francesco Passaro L6-2, 6-2
31.07.2026Luka Pavlovic W7-6, 2-6, 1-0
12.05.2026Tiago Pereira L6-2, 3-6
07.05.2026Joao Domingues L7-6, 6-3
06.05.2026Carles Rojas W6-2, 6-4
30.04.2026John Echeverria L6-3, 7-5
28.04.2026Ids Waterbolk W7-5, 6-2
13.04.2026Joel Schwaerzler L6-3, 3-6, 6-0
20.02.2026Lui Maxted W3-5
19.02.2026Tiago Cacao W6-4, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentFrancesco PassaroGastao Elias
Daniil Glinka 0-1
L 7-5, 6-4
0-1
L 6-2, 6-4

Francesco Passaro vs Gastao Elias: quick answers

Who will win Francesco Passaro vs Gastao Elias?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Francesco Passaro, giving them a 89% chance to win against Gastao Elias (11%).

What is the head-to-head record between Francesco Passaro and Gastao Elias?

Francesco Passaro leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Francesco Passaro 6-2, 6-2 at Portugal Lisbon.

Who is in better form, Francesco Passaro or Gastao Elias?

Francesco Passaro is 10-0 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 11 Wins). Gastao Elias is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Francesco Passaro and Gastao Elias?

Francesco Passaro is rated 6745 (ATP #162) and Gastao Elias is rated 6472 (ATP #584). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Francesco Passaro vs Gastao Elias?

Francesco Passaro is priced at -1429 and Gastao Elias at +535, which implies a 93% and 16% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.