Moise Kouame vs Francesco Maestrelli

ATP Brest (France), Indoors. Monday, November 2, 2026, 10:30.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Moise Kouame, giving them a 67% chance to win against Francesco Maestrelli (33%). Kouame is 5-5 in their last 10, Maestrelli 5-5.

Prediction

The model makes Moise Kouame a 67% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
67%
Book
68%

Model minus book: -1 pts

Model
33%
Book
39%

Model minus book: -6 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Moise Kouame at -208 · Model track record

Player comparison

Moise KouameFrancesco Maestrelli
Tennis Gauge rating67286700
Tour rankATP #177ATP #219
Last 10 matches5-55-5
Last 30 days4-23-3
Current streak2 Wins2 Wins
Season record38-2626-31
UTR14.6514.24
Elo (52 weeks)14761470
Best surfaceHardHard
Worst surfaceClayGrass

Head to head

Moise Kouame and Francesco Maestrelli haven't played each other in our records.

Recent form

Moise Kouame, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Hugo Gaston W7-5, 2-1
27.10.2026Hugo Grenier W6-4, 7-6
21.10.2026Lorenzo Musetti L6-4, 6-4
19.10.2026Lorenzo Sonego W7-6, 6-4
15.10.2026Nicolai Budkov Kjaer L6-4, 6-2
13.10.2026Diego Dedura Palomero W6-1, 6-4
30.09.2026Adam Walton L6-1, 6-4
24.09.2026Alexandre Muller L6-4, 6-0
19.09.2026Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez L2-6, 6-3, 6-4
18.09.2026Florent Bax W6-4, 6-2

Francesco Maestrelli, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Gabriel Diallo W6-4, 2-2
27.10.2026Moez Echargui W7-6, 6-3
18.10.2026Borna Gojo L4-6, 6-3, 7-6
15.10.2026Maxim Mrva L6-3, 6-4
13.10.2026Mili Poljicak W6-2, 6-3
07.10.2026Oliver Tarvet L4-6, 6-3, 6-4
21.09.2026Andrea Guerrieri L6-3, 6-7, 6-3
18.09.2026Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg L6-0, 6-3
17.09.2026Yanis Ghazouani Durand W4-6, 7-6, 6-3
16.09.2026Arthur Nagel W6-4, 7-6

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentMoise KouameFrancesco Maestrelli
Arthur Nagel 2-0
W 6-1, 6-3, W 6-2, 6-7, 7-6
1-0
W 6-4, 7-6
Moez Echargui 0-1
L 6-4, 2-6, 7-6
1-0
W 7-6, 6-3
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 0-1
L 6-4, 6-2
0-1
L 6-4, 6-4
Yanis Ghazouani Durand 1-0
W 3-6, 6-2, 6-4
1-0
W 4-6, 7-6, 6-3

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-11-01: ATP Brest (France), model gave Moise Kouame 67% at -208
  • 2026-10-31: ATP Brest (France), model gave Moise Kouame 67% at -208
  • 2026-10-30: ATP Brest (France), model gave Moise Kouame 67% at -208

Moise Kouame vs Francesco Maestrelli: quick answers

Who will win Moise Kouame vs Francesco Maestrelli?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Moise Kouame, giving them a 67% chance to win against Francesco Maestrelli (33%).

Have Moise Kouame and Francesco Maestrelli played before?

Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.

Who is in better form, Moise Kouame or Francesco Maestrelli?

Moise Kouame is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Francesco Maestrelli is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Moise Kouame and Francesco Maestrelli?

Moise Kouame is rated 6728 (ATP #177) and Francesco Maestrelli is rated 6700 (ATP #219). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Moise Kouame vs Francesco Maestrelli?

Moise Kouame is priced at -208 and Francesco Maestrelli at +155, which implies a 68% and 39% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.