Mili Poljicak vs Francesco Maestrelli
Updated
Francesco Maestrelli beat Mili Poljicak 6-2, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Francesco Maestrelli leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Poljicak is 3-7 in their last 10, Maestrelli 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Francesco Maestrelli a 50% favorite. At +118 the sportsbook implies 46% for Mili Poljicak, 4 points below the model's 50%.
Model minus book: +4 pts
Model minus book: -12 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Mili Poljicak at +118 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Mili Poljicak | Francesco Maestrelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6610 | 6700 |
| Tour rank | ATP #338 | ATP #219 |
| Last 10 matches | 3-7 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Current streak | 3 Losses | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 38-24 | 26-31 |
| UTR | 14.29 | 14.24 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1500 | 1473 |
| Best surface | Clay | Hard |
| Worst surface | Hard | Grass |
Head to head
Francesco Maestrelli leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Francesco Maestrelli | 6-2, 6-3 | Italy Olbia |
Recent form
Mili Poljicak, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2026 | Yuta Shimizu | L | 6-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Francesco Maestrelli | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Max Hans Rehberg | L | 5-7, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 04.10.2026 | Patrick Brady | W | 6-4, 3-6, 7-5 |
| 01.10.2026 | Henrique Rocha | L | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 28.09.2026 | Max Basing | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 07.9.2026 | Stefanos Sakellaridis | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 31.08.2026 | Matej Dodig | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 24.08.2026 | Max Schoenhaus | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 20.08.2026 | Sebastian Dominko | L | 7-6, 6-1 |
Francesco Maestrelli, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Gabriel Diallo | W | 6-4, 2-2 |
| 27.10.2026 | Moez Echargui | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 18.10.2026 | Borna Gojo | L | 4-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Maxim Mrva | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Mili Poljicak | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Oliver Tarvet | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 21.09.2026 | Andrea Guerrieri | L | 6-3, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 18.09.2026 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | L | 6-0, 6-3 |
| 17.09.2026 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | W | 4-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
| 16.09.2026 | Arthur Nagel | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Mili Poljicak | Francesco Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Buvaysar Gadamauri | 0-1 L 6-0, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
| Juan Pablo Varillas | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-6, 4-6, 6-3 |
| Kimmer Coppejans | 1-0 W 3-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-7, 6-2, 6-4 |
| Lorenzo Giustino | 1-0 W 6-2, 3-6, 6-2 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-1 |
| Lukas Neumayer | 0-1 L 6-4, 4-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-0 |
| Max Basing | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-4 |
0-1 L 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| Maxim Mrva | 1-0 W 6-3, 2-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
| Tom Gentzsch | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-12: ATP Olbia (X) (Italy), model gave Mili Poljicak 50% at +118
Mili Poljicak vs Francesco Maestrelli: quick answers
Who won Mili Poljicak vs Francesco Maestrelli?
Francesco Maestrelli beat Mili Poljicak 6-2, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Mili Poljicak and Francesco Maestrelli?
Francesco Maestrelli leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Francesco Maestrelli 6-2, 6-3 at Italy Olbia.
Who is in better form, Mili Poljicak or Francesco Maestrelli?
Mili Poljicak is 3-7 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Losses). Francesco Maestrelli is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Mili Poljicak and Francesco Maestrelli?
Mili Poljicak is rated 6610 (ATP #338) and Francesco Maestrelli is rated 6700 (ATP #219). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Mili Poljicak vs Francesco Maestrelli?
Mili Poljicak is priced at +118 and Francesco Maestrelli at -164, which implies a 46% and 62% chance to win. The model rates Mili Poljicak 4 points higher than the odds do (50% vs 46%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.