Francesca Mattioli vs Lisa Kamigata
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Francesca Mattioli, giving them a 70% chance to win against Lisa Kamigata (30%). Mattioli is 5-5 in their last 10, Kamigata 6-4.
Prediction
The model makes Francesca Mattioli a 70% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -9 pts
Model minus book: -1 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Francesca Mattioli at -370 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Francesca Mattioli | Lisa Kamigata | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6270 | 6106 |
| Tour rank | WTA #1096 | WTA #1656 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 5-4 | 6-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Win | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 28-20 | 14-9 |
| UTR | 10.37 | 10.18 |
Head to head
Francesca Mattioli and Lisa Kamigata haven't played each other in our records.
Recent form
Francesca Mattioli, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Kaya Moe | W | 7-6, 3-6, 6-2 |
| 28.10.2026 | Saray Yli Piipari | L | 6-1, 2-6, 7-6 |
| 27.10.2026 | Kaede Usui | L | 6-7, 6-2, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Mao Mushika | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 09.10.2026 | Edda Mamedova | L | 6-3, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 08.10.2026 | Victoria Bosio | W | 5-7, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 07.10.2026 | Duru Soke | W | 7-6, 5-7, 7-5 |
| 06.10.2026 | Anita Sahdiieva | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 04.10.2026 | Cara Korhonen | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 01.10.2026 | Rose Marie Nijkamp | L | 3-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
Lisa Kamigata, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Ava Esposito Cogan | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 28.10.2026 | Alyson Shannon | L | 6-7, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 27.10.2026 | Gabia Paskauskas | W | 6-1, 4-6, 6-0 |
| 12.10.2026 | Asuncion Jadue | L | 6-1, 2-6, 6-3 |
| 11.10.2026 | Mia Yamakita | W | 1-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 10.10.2026 | Georgia Kulevich | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 09.10.2026 | Valeria Chaikovskaia | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 08.10.2026 | Sati Aubakirova | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 08.10.2026 | Daria Rohalova | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 12.09.2026 | Saray Yli Piipari | L | 6-4, 0-6, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Francesca Mattioli | Lisa Kamigata |
|---|---|---|
| Saray Yli Piipari | 0-2 L 6-1, 2-6, 7-6, L 7-5, 2-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-4, 0-6, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-11-01: WTA UTR Pro Match Series (exh.) (USA), model gave Francesca Mattioli 70% at -370
- 2026-10-31: WTA UTR Pro Match Series (exh.) (USA), model gave Francesca Mattioli 70% at -370
- 2026-10-30: WTA UTR Pro Match Series (exh.) (USA), model gave Francesca Mattioli 70% at -370
Francesca Mattioli vs Lisa Kamigata: quick answers
Who will win Francesca Mattioli vs Lisa Kamigata?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Francesca Mattioli, giving them a 70% chance to win against Lisa Kamigata (30%).
Have Francesca Mattioli and Lisa Kamigata played before?
Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.
Who is in better form, Francesca Mattioli or Lisa Kamigata?
Francesca Mattioli is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Win). Lisa Kamigata is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Francesca Mattioli and Lisa Kamigata?
Francesca Mattioli is rated 6270 (WTA #1096) and Lisa Kamigata is rated 6106 (WTA #1656). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Francesca Mattioli vs Lisa Kamigata?
Francesca Mattioli is priced at -370 and Lisa Kamigata at +219, which implies a 79% and 31% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.