Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones

WTA Lisboa (Portugal), Clay. Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 03:05.

Updated

Francesca Jones beat Martina Colmegna 7-5, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Francesca Jones leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Colmegna is 6-4 in their last 10, Jones 6-4.

Result: Francesca Jones beat Martina Colmegna 7-5, 6-1. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Francesca Jones a 97% favorite. At -1250 the sportsbook implies 93% for Francesca Jones, 4 points below the model's 97%.

Model
3%
Book
14%

Model minus book: -11 pts

Model
97%
Book
93%

Model minus book: +4 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Francesca Jones at -1250 · Model track record

Player comparison

Martina ColmegnaFrancesca Jones
Tennis Gauge rating65236841
Tour rankWTA #514WTA #161
Last 10 matches6-46-4
Last 30 days3-21-1
Current streak1 Loss2 Wins
Season record31-2634-23
UTR11.1112.07
Elo (52 weeks)12541702
Best surfaceHardClay
Worst surfaceGrassGrass

Head to head

Francesca Jones leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
13.10.2026Francesca Jones7-5, 6-1Portugal Lisboa

Recent form

Martina Colmegna, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Tatjana Maria L6-1, 7-6
27.10.2026Zuzanna Pawlikowska W6-4, 0-6, 6-2
13.10.2026Francesca Jones L7-5, 6-1
25.09.2026Alena Kovackova L6-1, 7-6
24.09.2026Mia Horvit W7-5, 7-5
23.09.2026Federica Bilardo W7-5, 6-3
15.09.2026Mia Ristic L7-5, 7-6
14.09.2026Gabriella Price W6-2, 6-3
26.08.2026Marianna Argyrokastriti W3-6, 6-2, 6-2
26.08.2026Amelie Justine Hejtmanek W6-3, 6-1

Francesca Jones, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Marjorie Souza W6-4, 6-3
27.10.2026Maria Florencia Urrutia W7-5, 6-1
16.10.2026Dalma Galfi L6-2, 6-4
16.10.2026Dalma Galfi L6-2, 6-4
15.10.2026Francisca Jorge W6-3, 6-4
13.10.2026Martina Colmegna W7-5, 6-1
16.09.2026Mona Barthel L6-0, 6-4
15.09.2026Alja Senica W5-7, 6-3, 6-3
10.09.2026Rositsa Dencheva L7-6, 5-7, 6-4
08.09.2026Raluka Serban W6-4, 6-3

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentMartina ColmegnaFrancesca Jones
Lucija Ciric Bagaric 0-1
L 6-4, 4-6, 7-6
1-0
W 7-5, 6-3
Nuria Brancaccio 0-1
L 6-2, 6-2
1-0
W 6-3, 6-4

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-12: WTA Lisboa (Portugal), model gave Martina Colmegna 3% at +600

Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones: quick answers

Who won Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones?

Francesca Jones beat Martina Colmegna 7-5, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Martina Colmegna and Francesca Jones?

Francesca Jones leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Francesca Jones 7-5, 6-1 at Portugal Lisboa.

Who is in better form, Martina Colmegna or Francesca Jones?

Martina Colmegna is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Francesca Jones is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Martina Colmegna and Francesca Jones?

Martina Colmegna is rated 6523 (WTA #514) and Francesca Jones is rated 6841 (WTA #161). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones?

Martina Colmegna is priced at +600 and Francesca Jones at -1250, which implies a 14% and 93% chance to win. The model rates Francesca Jones 4 points higher than the odds do (97% vs 93%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.