Marina Bassols Ribera vs Francesca Curmi

WTA Mallorca (Spain), Clay. Wednesday, October 14, 2026, 01:00.

Updated

Francesca Curmi beat Marina Bassols Ribera 3-6, 6-3, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Marina Bassols Ribera at 60%. Francesca Curmi leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Ribera is 7-3 in their last 10, Curmi 8-2.

Result: Francesca Curmi beat Marina Bassols Ribera 3-6, 6-3, 6-3. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Marina Bassols Ribera.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Marina Bassols Ribera a 60% favorite. At -106 the sportsbook implies 51% for Marina Bassols Ribera, 8 points below the model's 60%.

Model
60%
Book
51%

Model minus book: +8 pts

Model
40%
Book
56%

Model minus book: -16 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Marina Bassols Ribera at -106 · Model track record

Player comparison

Marina Bassols RiberaFrancesca Curmi
Tennis Gauge rating68666761
Tour rankWTA #142WTA #230
Last 10 matches7-38-2
Last 30 days3-13-2
Current streak2 Wins2 Wins
Season record44-2849-24
UTR11.8611.68
Elo (52 weeks)15971557
Best surfaceGrassClay
Worst surfaceHardHard

Head to head

Francesca Curmi leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
14.10.2026Francesca Curmi3-6, 6-3, 6-3Spain Mallorca

Recent form

Marina Bassols Ribera, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Erika Andreeva W6-4, 7-6
27.10.2026Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva W6-3, 6-3
23.10.2026Jodie Burrage L6-1, 6-4
22.10.2026Lizette Cabrera W6-1, 0-6, 6-2
20.10.2026Caroline Uebelhoer W6-4, 6-3
14.10.2026Francesca Curmi L3-6, 6-3, 6-3
13.10.2026Ida Wobker W6-1, 6-3
01.10.2026Kamilla Rakhimova L6-4, 7-6
29.09.2026Xiaodi You W6-4, 6-4
28.09.2026Olivia Nicholls W6-1, 6-1

Francesca Curmi, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Clara Vlasselaer W3-6, 7-6, 6-4
27.10.2026Astrid Cirotte W6-1, 6-1
17.10.2026Ariana Geerlings L6-2, 6-3
16.10.2026Elizara Yaneva W6-1, 4-6, 6-4
16.10.2026Elizara Yaneva W6-1, 4-6, 6-4
14.10.2026Marina Bassols Ribera W3-6, 6-3, 6-3
12.10.2026Eva Vedder W4-6, 7-5, 6-0
09.10.2026Alisa Oktiabreva L7-6, 6-4
08.10.2026Miriam Bianca Bulgaru W6-3, 6-1
06.10.2026Maayan Laron W6-1, 6-0

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentMarina Bassols RiberaFrancesca Curmi
Alisa Oktiabreva 1-0
W 6-3, 4-6, 6-3
0-2
L 7-6, 6-4, L 7-6, 6-3
Amandine Monnot 1-0
W 6-2, 6-1
1-0
W 6-3, 7-5
Eva Bennemann 1-0
W 6-4, 6-2
0-1
L 6-4, 6-1
Lola Radivojevic 1-0
W 6-7, 6-2, 7-6
1-0
W 7-5, 6-3
Manon Leonard 0-1
L 7-5, 6-4
1-0
W 6-3, 2-6, 6-3
Pia Lovric 1-0
W 7-5, 6-0
1-0
W 6-2, 6-2

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-13: WTA Mallorca (Spain), model gave Marina Bassols Ribera 60% at -106

Marina Bassols Ribera vs Francesca Curmi: quick answers

Who won Marina Bassols Ribera vs Francesca Curmi?

Francesca Curmi beat Marina Bassols Ribera 3-6, 6-3, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Marina Bassols Ribera at 60%.

What is the head-to-head record between Marina Bassols Ribera and Francesca Curmi?

Francesca Curmi leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Francesca Curmi 3-6, 6-3, 6-3 at Spain Mallorca.

Who is in better form, Marina Bassols Ribera or Francesca Curmi?

Marina Bassols Ribera is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Francesca Curmi is 8-2 (current streak: 2 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Marina Bassols Ribera and Francesca Curmi?

Marina Bassols Ribera is rated 6866 (WTA #142) and Francesca Curmi is rated 6761 (WTA #230). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Marina Bassols Ribera vs Francesca Curmi?

Marina Bassols Ribera is priced at -106 and Francesca Curmi at -128, which implies a 51% and 56% chance to win. The model rates Marina Bassols Ribera 8 points higher than the odds do (60% vs 51%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.