Francesca Curmi vs Margaux Maquet

WTA Poitiers (France), Indoors. Monday, November 2, 2026, 04:26.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Francesca Curmi, giving them a 83% chance to win against Margaux Maquet (17%). Curmi is 8-2 in their last 10, Maquet 6-4.

Prediction

The model makes Francesca Curmi a 83% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
83%
Book
81%

Model minus book: +3 pts

Model
17%
Book
28%

Model minus book: -11 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Francesca Curmi at -417 · Model track record

Player comparison

Francesca CurmiMargaux Maquet
Tennis Gauge rating67616490
Tour rankWTA #230WTA #566
Last 10 matches8-26-4
Last 30 days8-23-2
Current streak2 Wins3 Wins
Season record49-2459-24
UTR11.6811.13
Elo (52 weeks)1585–
Best surfaceClay–
Worst surfaceHard–

Head to head

Francesca Curmi and Margaux Maquet haven't played each other in our records.

Recent form

Francesca Curmi, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Clara Vlasselaer W3-6, 7-6, 6-4
27.10.2026Astrid Cirotte W6-1, 6-1
17.10.2026Ariana Geerlings L6-2, 6-3
16.10.2026Elizara Yaneva W6-1, 4-6, 6-4
16.10.2026Elizara Yaneva W6-1, 4-6, 6-4
14.10.2026Marina Bassols Ribera W3-6, 6-3, 6-3
12.10.2026Eva Vedder W4-6, 7-5, 6-0
09.10.2026Alisa Oktiabreva L7-6, 6-4
08.10.2026Miriam Bianca Bulgaru W6-3, 6-1
06.10.2026Maayan Laron W6-1, 6-0

Margaux Maquet, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Mathilde Lollia W6-2, 6-3
27.10.2026Matilde Jorge W4-6, 7-5, 6-3
26.10.2026Diana Marcinkevica W6-3, 6-2
13.10.2026Mayuka Aikawa L7-6, 6-3
07.10.2026Emma Lene L4-6, 6-4, 6-4
23.09.2026Elizara Yaneva L6-3, 6-3
21.09.2026Lucie Petruzelova W6-3, 7-5
20.09.2026Amy Sucha W6-1, 7-6
14.09.2026Merel Hoedt L6-3, 6-0
13.09.2026Stefania Bojica W1-6, 6-1, 6-2

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentFrancesca CurmiMargaux Maquet
Carlota Martinez Cirez 1-0
W 7-5, 6-1
1-0
W 6-3, 6-2
Carmen Gallardo Guevara 1-0
W 6-1, 6-4
1-0
W 7-6, 6-3
Elena Ruxandra Bertea 1-1
L 6-7, 6-3, 7-5, W 6-2, 6-1
0-1
L 6-3, 6-2
Elizara Yaneva 2-1
W 6-1, 4-6, 6-4, W 6-1, 4-6, 6-4, L 6-3, 6-3
0-1
L 6-3, 6-3
Emma Lene 0-1
L 6-3, 1-6, 4-4
0-1
L 4-6, 6-4, 6-4
Matilde Jorge 1-0
W 7-6, 2-6, 6-0
1-0
W 4-6, 7-5, 6-3
Sarah Van Emst 1-0
W 4-6, 7-5, 6-3
0-1
L 2-6, 6-4, 6-3

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-11-01: WTA Poitiers (France), model gave Francesca Curmi 83% at -417
  • 2026-10-31: WTA Poitiers (France), model gave Francesca Curmi 83% at -417
  • 2026-10-30: WTA Poitiers (France), model gave Francesca Curmi 83% at -417

Francesca Curmi vs Margaux Maquet: quick answers

Who will win Francesca Curmi vs Margaux Maquet?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Francesca Curmi, giving them a 83% chance to win against Margaux Maquet (17%).

Have Francesca Curmi and Margaux Maquet played before?

Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.

Who is in better form, Francesca Curmi or Margaux Maquet?

Francesca Curmi is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Margaux Maquet is 6-4 (current streak: 3 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Francesca Curmi and Margaux Maquet?

Francesca Curmi is rated 6761 (WTA #230) and Margaux Maquet is rated 6490 (WTA #566). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Francesca Curmi vs Margaux Maquet?

Francesca Curmi is priced at -417 and Margaux Maquet at +260, which implies a 81% and 28% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.