Florian Broska vs Milos Karol

ATP Maia (XI) (Portugal), Indoors. Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 07:30.

Updated

Milos Karol beat Florian Broska 6-3, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Florian Broska at 61%. Milos Karol leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Broska is 4-6 in their last 10, Karol 5-5.

Result: Milos Karol beat Florian Broska 6-3, 6-4. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Florian Broska.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Florian Broska a 61% favorite. At -139 the sportsbook implies 58% for Florian Broska, 3 points below the model's 61%.

Model
61%
Book
58%

Model minus book: +3 pts

Model
39%
Book
50%

Model minus book: -11 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Florian Broska at -139 · Model track record

Player comparison

Florian BroskaMilos Karol
Tennis Gauge rating65396578
Tour rankATP #449ATP #386
Last 10 matches4-65-5
Last 30 days4-32-1
Current streak1 Loss2 Losses
Season record45-2628-18
UTR14.314.04
Elo (52 weeks)1427–
Best surfaceClay–
Worst surfaceHard–

Head to head

Milos Karol leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
13.10.2026Milos Karol6-3, 6-4Portugal Maia

Recent form

Florian Broska, last 10

DateOpponentScore
13.10.2026Milos Karol L6-3, 6-4
12.10.2026Sergi Perez Contri W6-3, 2-6, 7-6
11.10.2026Adrian Oetzbach W6-3, 6-7, 6-1
07.10.2026Lukas Neumayer L4-6, 6-3, 6-2
02.10.2026Gabi Adrian Boitan L6-7, 6-3, 6-4
01.10.2026Rares Teodor Pieleanu W6-2, 4-6, 7-6
30.09.2026Robert Guna W6-2, 6-3
21.09.2026Federico Arnaboldi L6-1, 7-6
18.08.2026Sean Cuenin L6-3, 7-5
11.08.2026Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida L7-6, 3-6, 7-5

Milos Karol, last 10

DateOpponentScore
18.10.2026Kai Wehnelt L6-3, 3-6, 6-2
15.10.2026Marco Trungelliti L6-2, 6-0
13.10.2026Florian Broska W6-3, 6-4
12.10.2026Oleksii Krutykh W6-1, 5-7, 7-6
11.10.2026Dali Blanch W6-3, 3-6, 6-3
04.10.2026Tiago Cacao L6-4, 6-4
16.06.2026Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva L6-3, 5-7, 6-3
15.06.2026Luca Castelnuovo W3-6, 6-2, 6-3
14.06.2026Michael Vrbensky W7-6, 6-1
07.06.2026Nicolas Alvarez Varona L6-7, 6-4, 7-6

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentFlorian BroskaMilos Karol
Adrian Oetzbach 1-0
W 6-3, 6-7, 6-1
0-1
L 3-6, 6-3, 7-6
Alexandre Aubriot 1-0
W 6-3, 6-7, 7-5
1-0
W 6-4, 6-4
Federico Arnaboldi 0-1
L 6-1, 7-6
0-1
L 2-6, 6-3, 6-3
Hynek Barton 0-1
L 6-3, 6-4
1-0
W 6-4, 4-6, 6-4
Jonas Forejtek 1-0
W 6-7, 6-3, 6-4
1-0
W 7-6, 7-6
Kai Wehnelt 1-0
W 6-2, 6-3
0-1
L 6-3, 3-6, 6-2
Patrick Schoen 0-1
L 7-5, 7-6
1-0
W 7-6, 6-2

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-12: ATP Maia (XI) (Portugal), model gave Florian Broska 61% at -139

Florian Broska vs Milos Karol: quick answers

Who won Florian Broska vs Milos Karol?

Milos Karol beat Florian Broska 6-3, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Florian Broska at 61%.

What is the head-to-head record between Florian Broska and Milos Karol?

Milos Karol leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Milos Karol 6-3, 6-4 at Portugal Maia.

Who is in better form, Florian Broska or Milos Karol?

Florian Broska is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Milos Karol is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Florian Broska and Milos Karol?

Florian Broska is rated 6539 (ATP #449) and Milos Karol is rated 6578 (ATP #386). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Florian Broska vs Milos Karol?

Florian Broska is priced at -139 and Milos Karol at +100, which implies a 58% and 50% chance to win. The model rates Florian Broska 3 points higher than the odds do (61% vs 58%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.