Flavio Cobolli vs Stan Wawrinka
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Flavio Cobolli, giving them a 86% chance to win against Stan Wawrinka (14%). Flavio Cobolli leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Cobolli is 4-6 in their last 10, Wawrinka 2-8. At -278, the odds imply 74% for Flavio Cobolli, below the model's 86%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Flavio Cobolli a 86% favorite. At -278 the sportsbook implies 74% for Flavio Cobolli, 13 points below the model's 86%.
Model minus book: +13 pts
Model minus book: -18 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Flavio Cobolli at -278 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Flavio Cobolli | Stan Wawrinka | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6924 | 6806 |
| Tour rank | ATP #24 | ATP #116 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 2-8 |
| Last 30 days | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 40-26 | 10-22 |
| UTR | 15.86 | 15.22 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1873 | 1651 |
| Best surface | Grass | Hard |
| Worst surface | Hard | Clay |
Head to head
Flavio Cobolli leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Flavio Cobolli | 6-2, 6-4 | France Lyon |
| 04.01.2026 | Flavio Cobolli | 6-4, 6-7, 7-6 | United Cup M |
Recent form
Flavio Cobolli, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Matteo Berrettini | L | 5-2 |
| 27.10.2026 | Grigor Dimitrov | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 24.10.2026 | Lorenzo Musetti | L | 4-6, 6-2, 7-5 |
| 23.10.2026 | Brandon Nakashima | W | 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 22.10.2026 | Stan Wawrinka | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 09.10.2026 | Adrian Mannarino | L | 6-1, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 01.10.2026 | Roman Safiullin | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 26.09.2026 | Learner Tien | L | 6-3, 2-6, 10-7 |
| 05.09.2026 | Alexander Blockx | L | 6-7, 6-3, 6-0, 6-3 |
| 03.09.2026 | Tristan Schoolkate | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-4, 7-5 |
Stan Wawrinka, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Jiri Lehecka | L | 7-5, 7-6 |
| 22.10.2026 | Flavio Cobolli | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Martin Landaluce | W | 6-3, 6-7, 7-6 |
| 18.09.2026 | Gustavo Heide | L | 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 31.08.2026 | Matteo Berrettini | L | 7-6, 7-6, 6-0 |
| 21.08.2026 | Roman Safiullin | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 19.08.2026 | Dalibor Svrcina | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 21.07.2026 | Roman Andres Burruchaga | L | 6-4, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 14.07.2026 | Jaime Faria | L | 6-7, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 30.06.2026 | Matteo Berrettini | L | 6-7, 7-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Flavio Cobolli | Stan Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Alex De Minaur | 1-0 W 7-5, 7-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | 0-1 L 6-7, 7-6, 7-5 |
1-0 W 5-7, 7-6, 7-6 |
| Dalibor Svrcina | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-6, 7-6 |
| Daniil Medvedev | 1-0 W 6-3, 5-7, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
| Felix Auger Aliassime | 1-0 W 4-6, 6-4, 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-4, 7-6 |
| Matteo Berrettini | 0-1 L 5-2 |
0-2 L 7-6, 7-6, 6-0, L 6-7, 7-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-4, 4-6, 6-3 |
| Roman Safiullin | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
| Zizou Bergs | 2-0 W 6-2, 6-3, W 6-3, 6-7, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-7, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: ATP Lyon (X) (France), model gave Flavio Cobolli 86% at -278
- 2026-10-26: ATP Lyon (X) (France), model gave Flavio Cobolli 86% at -278
- 2026-10-25: ATP Lyon (X) (France), model gave Flavio Cobolli 86% at -278
- 2026-10-24: ATP Lyon (X) (France), model gave Flavio Cobolli 86% at -278
- 2026-10-23: ATP Lyon (X) (France), model gave Flavio Cobolli 86% at -278
- 2026-10-22: ATP Lyon (X) (France), model gave Flavio Cobolli 86% at -278
- 2026-10-21: ATP Lyon (X) (France), model gave Flavio Cobolli 86% at -278
Flavio Cobolli vs Stan Wawrinka: quick answers
Who will win Flavio Cobolli vs Stan Wawrinka?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Flavio Cobolli, giving them a 86% chance to win against Stan Wawrinka (14%).
What is the head-to-head record between Flavio Cobolli and Stan Wawrinka?
Flavio Cobolli leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Flavio Cobolli 6-2, 6-4 at France Lyon.
Who is in better form, Flavio Cobolli or Stan Wawrinka?
Flavio Cobolli is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Stan Wawrinka is 2-8 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Flavio Cobolli and Stan Wawrinka?
Flavio Cobolli is rated 6924 (ATP #24) and Stan Wawrinka is rated 6806 (ATP #116). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Flavio Cobolli vs Stan Wawrinka?
Flavio Cobolli is priced at -278 and Stan Wawrinka at +215, which implies a 74% and 32% chance to win. The model rates Flavio Cobolli 13 points higher than the odds do (86% vs 74%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.