Finn Murgett vs Mathieu Scaglia
Updated
Finn Murgett beat Mathieu Scaglia 6-0, 4-6, 6-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Mathieu Scaglia at 51%. Finn Murgett leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Murgett is 7-3 in their last 10, Scaglia 4-6.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Mathieu Scaglia a 51% favorite. At +180 the sportsbook implies 36% for Mathieu Scaglia, 15 points below the model's 51%.
Model minus book: -25 pts
Model minus book: +15 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Mathieu Scaglia at +180 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Finn Murgett | Mathieu Scaglia | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6426 | 6352 |
| Tour rank | ATP #702 | ATP #947 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 6-3 | 1-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 3 Losses |
| Season record | 42-23 | 17-19 |
| UTR | 13.54 | 13.02 |
Head to head
Finn Murgett leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08.10.2026 | Finn Murgett | 6-0, 4-6, 6-1 | Greece Heraklion |
Recent form
Finn Murgett, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Maximilian Marterer | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 23.10.2026 | Oliver Tarvet | L | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 22.10.2026 | George Loffhagen | W | 7-6, 1-0 |
| 21.10.2026 | Sebastian Sorger | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Bader Idrees | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 18.10.2026 | Amit Vales | L | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 17.10.2026 | Peter Makk | W | 7-5, 1-6, 5-0 |
| 16.10.2026 | Benjamin Pietri | W | 1-6, 7-6, 6-1 |
| 16.10.2026 | Benjamin Pietri | W | 1-6, 7-6, 6-1 |
| 14.10.2026 | Odysseas Geladaris | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
Mathieu Scaglia, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Daniel Masur | L | 6-7, 7-5, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Luka Talan Lopatic | L | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 08.10.2026 | Finn Murgett | L | 6-0, 4-6, 6-1 |
| 07.10.2026 | Henri Haupt | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 16.09.2026 | Lucca Liu | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 08.09.2026 | Robin Bertrand | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 07.9.2026 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu | W | 7-6, 2-6, 7-6 |
| 06.09.2026 | Amit Vales | W | 4-6, 6-2, 7-6 |
| 28.08.2026 | Pierre Delage | L | 6-3, 2-6, 7-6 |
| 27.08.2026 | Jaume Casas Blasi | W | 6-7, 6-3, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Finn Murgett | Mathieu Scaglia |
|---|---|---|
| Amit Vales | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-2 |
1-0 W 4-6, 6-2, 7-6 |
| Benjamin Pietri | 2-0 W 1-6, 7-6, 6-1, W 1-6, 7-6, 6-1 |
0-2 L 6-4, 6-4, L 6-4, 6-4 |
| Robin Bertrand | 0-1 L 7-5, 6-0 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-4 |
Finn Murgett vs Mathieu Scaglia: quick answers
Who won Finn Murgett vs Mathieu Scaglia?
Finn Murgett beat Mathieu Scaglia 6-0, 4-6, 6-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Mathieu Scaglia at 51%.
What is the head-to-head record between Finn Murgett and Mathieu Scaglia?
Finn Murgett leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 8, 2026, won by Finn Murgett 6-0, 4-6, 6-1 at Greece Heraklion.
Who is in better form, Finn Murgett or Mathieu Scaglia?
Finn Murgett is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Mathieu Scaglia is 4-6 (current streak: 3 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Finn Murgett and Mathieu Scaglia?
Finn Murgett is rated 6426 (ATP #702) and Mathieu Scaglia is rated 6352 (ATP #947). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Finn Murgett vs Mathieu Scaglia?
Finn Murgett is priced at -286 and Mathieu Scaglia at +180, which implies a 74% and 36% chance to win. The model rates Mathieu Scaglia 15 points higher than the odds do (51% vs 36%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.