Yaroslav Demin vs Filip Peliwo

ATP Qian Daohu (China), Hard. Wednesday, October 14, 2026, 12:00.

Updated

Yaroslav Demin beat Filip Peliwo 6-2, 7-5, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Yaroslav Demin leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Demin is 7-3 in their last 10, Peliwo 6-4.

Result: Yaroslav Demin beat Filip Peliwo 6-2, 7-5. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Yaroslav Demin a 70% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
70%
Book
69%

Model minus book: +1 pts

Model
30%
Book
40%

Model minus book: -10 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Yaroslav Demin at -222 · Model track record

Player comparison

Yaroslav DeminFilip Peliwo
Tennis Gauge rating65256401
Tour rankATP #479ATP #780
Last 10 matches7-36-4
Last 30 days1-14-4
Current streak4 Wins1 Loss
Season record43-2137-38
UTR13.613.2
Elo (52 weeks)–1245
Best surface–Clay
Worst surface–Grass

Head to head

Yaroslav Demin leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
14.10.2026Yaroslav Demin6-2, 7-5China Qian Daohu

Recent form

Yaroslav Demin, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Charles Broom W6-1, 6-3
27.10.2026Carl Emil Overbeck W6-4, 6-4
26.10.2026Martin Borisiouk W7-6, 6-3
26.10.2026Qian Sun W6-0, 6-4
20.10.2026Akira Santillan L4-6, 6-4, 6-3
19.10.2026Kasidit Samrej W6-4, 6-2
18.10.2026Alexandr Binda W6-3, 7-6
15.10.2026Matthew Dellavedova L2-6, 6-4, 6-3
14.10.2026Filip Peliwo W6-2, 7-5
07.10.2026Akira Santillan L6-3, 6-3

Filip Peliwo, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Naoya Honda L5-7, 6-3, 7-6
26.10.2026Luca Castelnuovo W7-6, 6-1
25.10.2026Saba Purtseladze W6-2, 6-3
24.10.2026Mikalai Haliak L6-3, 6-3
23.10.2026Hao Yu Lin W6-1, 6-3
22.10.2026Xirui Han W6-1, 7-6
21.10.2026Jordan Chiu W6-2, 6-3
14.10.2026Yaroslav Demin L6-2, 7-5
07.10.2026Timofei Derepasko L6-3, 7-6
06.10.2026Max Purcell W7-6, 6-1

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentYaroslav DeminFilip Peliwo
Charles Broom 1-0
W 6-1, 6-3
0-1
L 6-1, 6-1
Matthew Dellavedova 0-1
L 2-6, 6-4, 6-3
0-1
L 6-2, 6-2
Qian Sun 1-0
W 6-0, 6-4
1-0
W 7-6, 6-2
Stefano Napolitano 0-1
L 6-7, 6-2, 6-3
0-1
L 6-4, 6-3

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-13: ATP Qian Daohu (China), model gave Yaroslav Demin 70% at -222
  • 2026-10-12: ATP Qian Daohu (China), model gave Yaroslav Demin 70% at -222

Yaroslav Demin vs Filip Peliwo: quick answers

Who won Yaroslav Demin vs Filip Peliwo?

Yaroslav Demin beat Filip Peliwo 6-2, 7-5, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Yaroslav Demin and Filip Peliwo?

Yaroslav Demin leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Yaroslav Demin 6-2, 7-5 at China Qian Daohu.

Who is in better form, Yaroslav Demin or Filip Peliwo?

Yaroslav Demin is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 4 Wins). Filip Peliwo is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Yaroslav Demin and Filip Peliwo?

Yaroslav Demin is rated 6525 (ATP #479) and Filip Peliwo is rated 6401 (ATP #780). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Yaroslav Demin vs Filip Peliwo?

Yaroslav Demin is priced at -222 and Filip Peliwo at +150, which implies a 69% and 40% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.