Felix Balshaw vs Jaime Faria

ATP Lyon (X) (France), Indoors. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 06:10.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Jaime Faria, giving them a 79% chance to win against Felix Balshaw (21%). Felix Balshaw leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Balshaw is 4-6 in their last 10, Faria 4-6. At -192, the odds imply 66% for Jaime Faria, below the model's 79%.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Jaime Faria a 79% favorite. At -192 the sportsbook implies 66% for Jaime Faria, 13 points below the model's 79%.

Model
21%
Book
41%

Model minus book: -20 pts

Model
79%
Book
66%

Model minus book: +13 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Jaime Faria at -192 · Model track record

Player comparison

Felix BalshawJaime Faria
Tennis Gauge rating66886849
Tour rankATP #235ATP #85
Last 10 matches4-64-6
Last 30 days5-43-5
Current streak2 Losses4 Losses
Season record50-2550-31
UTR14.5915.58
Elo (52 weeks)15981772
Best surfaceHardGrass
Worst surfaceGrassHard

Head to head

Felix Balshaw leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
19.10.2026Felix Balshaw6-2, 4-6, 6-3France Lyon

Recent form

Felix Balshaw, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Ugo Blanchet L3-6, 6-3, 6-4
21.10.2026Corentin Moutet L6-4, 6-4
19.10.2026Jaime Faria W6-2, 4-6, 6-3
16.10.2026Mika Brunold L6-3, 2-6, 6-3
16.10.2026Mika Brunold L6-3, 2-6, 6-3
15.10.2026Matisse Bobichon W6-3, 6-4
13.10.2026Gauthier Onclin W6-4, 6-7, 6-4
06.10.2026Joel Schwaerzler L6-7, 6-3, 7-5
02.10.2026Henry Bernet L3-6, 6-2, 6-3
01.10.2026Nicolai Budkov Kjaer W7-5, 4-6, 7-6

Jaime Faria, last 10

DateOpponentScore
24.10.2026Mika Brunold L7-6, 7-6
19.10.2026Felix Balshaw L6-2, 4-6, 6-3
07.10.2026Arthur Gea L6-7, 6-1, 6-2
02.10.2026Jaume Munar L6-1, 6-1
01.10.2026Arthur Fery W6-4, 3-6, 6-4
29.09.2026Adolfo Daniel Vallejo L6-4, 5-7, 7-5
28.09.2026Shintaro Mochizuki W6-2, 6-4
25.09.2026Hugo Gaston L4-6, 7-6, 6-4
24.09.2026Terence Atmane W3-6, 7-6, 6-4
19.09.2026Cesar Cruz W6-2, 6-2

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentFelix BalshawJaime Faria
Benjamin Hassan 1-0
W 6-4, 6-1
1-0
W 6-3, 6-4
Elmer Moller 1-0
W 6-1, 3-0
1-0
W 6-1, 6-3
Martin Krumich 1-0
W 6-3, 3-6, 6-3
1-0
W 2-6, 6-3, 6-4
Mika Brunold 0-2
L 6-3, 2-6, 6-3, L 6-3, 2-6, 6-3
0-1
L 7-6, 7-6

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-19: ATP Lyon (X) (France), model gave Jaime Faria 82% at -185
  • 2026-10-18: ATP Lyon (X) (France), model gave Jaime Faria 82% at -185

Felix Balshaw vs Jaime Faria: quick answers

Who will win Felix Balshaw vs Jaime Faria?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Jaime Faria, giving them a 79% chance to win against Felix Balshaw (21%).

What is the head-to-head record between Felix Balshaw and Jaime Faria?

Felix Balshaw leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Felix Balshaw 6-2, 4-6, 6-3 at France Lyon.

Who is in better form, Felix Balshaw or Jaime Faria?

Felix Balshaw is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Jaime Faria is 4-6 (current streak: 4 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Felix Balshaw and Jaime Faria?

Felix Balshaw is rated 6688 (ATP #235) and Jaime Faria is rated 6849 (ATP #85). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Felix Balshaw vs Jaime Faria?

Felix Balshaw is priced at +146 and Jaime Faria at -192, which implies a 41% and 66% chance to win. The model rates Jaime Faria 13 points higher than the odds do (79% vs 66%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.