Joel Schwaerzler vs Federico Cina

ATP Brussels (X) (Belgium), Indoors. Saturday, October 17, 2026, 03:30.

Updated

Federico Cina beat Joel Schwaerzler 6-3, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Federico Cina leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Schwaerzler is 4-6 in their last 10, Cina 7-3.

Result: Federico Cina beat Joel Schwaerzler 6-3, 7-6. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Federico Cina a 59% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
41%
Book
40%

Model minus book: +1 pts

Model
59%
Book
67%

Model minus book: -8 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Federico Cina at -204 · Model track record

Player comparison

Joel SchwaerzlerFederico Cina
Tennis Gauge rating66926770
Tour rankATP #227ATP #140
Last 10 matches4-67-3
Last 30 days4-36-4
Current streak3 Losses2 Wins
Season record36-3039-27
UTR14.5214.67
Elo (52 weeks)15281581
Best surfaceHardClay
Worst surfaceGrassGrass

Head to head

Federico Cina leads 2-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
17.10.2026Federico Cina6-3, 7-6Belgium Brussels
13.05.2026Federico Cina6-4, 6-1Tunisia Tunis

Recent form

Joel Schwaerzler, last 10

DateOpponentScore
24.10.2026Titouan Droguet L6-3, 3-6, 7-5
17.10.2026Federico Cina L6-3, 7-6
08.10.2026Jack Pinnington Jones L6-1, 6-3
06.10.2026Felix Balshaw W6-7, 6-3, 7-5
03.10.2026Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg L6-4, 6-2
02.10.2026Lucas Poullain W6-4, 6-1
01.10.2026Harry Wendelken W6-4, 6-3
29.09.2026Alberto Barroso Campos W6-3, 7-5
22.09.2026Maxime Chazal L2-6, 6-4, 7-6
03.09.2026Luca Potenza L6-2, 6-2

Federico Cina, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Nicolai Budkov Kjaer W6-3, 6-3
26.10.2026Shintaro Mochizuki W6-0, 4-6, 6-3
19.10.2026Jaume Munar L6-4, 6-3
18.10.2026Remy Bertola W3-6, 7-6, 7-6
17.10.2026Joel Schwaerzler W6-3, 7-6
07.10.2026Alex Molcan L4-6, 6-1, 6-2
06.10.2026Aziz Dougaz W6-3, 4-6, 6-4
05.10.2026Linang Xiao W2-6, 6-3, 6-2
02.10.2026Yanki Erel L7-5, 7-6
01.10.2026Elias Ymer W3-6, 6-3, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentJoel SchwaerzlerFederico Cina
Aziz Dougaz 1-0
W 7-6, 3-6, 7-6
1-0
W 6-3, 4-6, 6-4
Jan Choinski 0-1
L 6-4, 4-6, 6-4
1-0
W 6-1, 7-5
Jurij Rodionov 0-1
L 6-4, 6-2
0-1
L 6-4, 6-3
Lorenzo Giustino 1-0
W 4-6, 6-3, 1-0
1-0
W 6-4, 6-2
Maxim Mrva 1-0
W 6-3, 6-4
1-0
W 6-3, 6-7, 7-5
Zdenek Kolar 1-0
W 4-6, 7-6, 7-6
1-0
W 4-6, 6-4, 6-3

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-16: ATP Brussels (X) (Belgium), model gave Joel Schwaerzler 41% at +153

Joel Schwaerzler vs Federico Cina: quick answers

Who won Joel Schwaerzler vs Federico Cina?

Federico Cina beat Joel Schwaerzler 6-3, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Joel Schwaerzler and Federico Cina?

Federico Cina leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 17, 2026, won by Federico Cina 6-3, 7-6 at Belgium Brussels.

Who is in better form, Joel Schwaerzler or Federico Cina?

Joel Schwaerzler is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Losses). Federico Cina is 7-3 (current streak: 2 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Joel Schwaerzler and Federico Cina?

Joel Schwaerzler is rated 6692 (ATP #227) and Federico Cina is rated 6770 (ATP #140). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Joel Schwaerzler vs Federico Cina?

Joel Schwaerzler is priced at +153 and Federico Cina at -204, which implies a 40% and 67% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.