Federico Bondioli vs Francesco Forti
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Federico Bondioli, giving them a 55% chance to win against Francesco Forti (45%). Francesco Forti leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Bondioli is 6-4 in their last 10, Forti 5-5. At +123, the odds imply 45% for Federico Bondioli, below the model's 55%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Federico Bondioli a 55% favorite. At +123 the sportsbook implies 45% for Federico Bondioli, 10 points below the model's 55%.
Model minus book: +10 pts
Model minus book: -18 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Federico Bondioli at +123 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Federico Bondioli | Francesco Forti | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6654 | 6617 |
| Tour rank | ATP #277 | ATP #327 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 33-27 | 49-32 |
| UTR | 14.34 | 14.28 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1440 | 1375 |
| Best surface | Clay | Clay |
| Worst surface | Hard | Hard |
Head to head
Francesco Forti leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Francesco Forti | 6-1, 6-0 | Italy Florence |
| 22.02.2026 | Francesco Forti | 3-6, 7-6, 7-5 | Switzerland Lugano |
Recent form
Federico Bondioli, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Francesco Forti | L | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 19.10.2026 | Zdenek Kolar | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Enrico Dalla Valle | L | 6-1, 5-7, 7-6 |
| 31.08.2026 | Federico Arnaboldi | W | 2-4 |
| 19.07.2026 | Max Alcala Gurri | L | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 18.07.2026 | Matyas Fuele | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 17.07.2026 | Sumit Nagal | W | 1-6, 7-5, 6-3 |
| 15.07.2026 | Guido Ivan Justo | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 14.07.2026 | Alvaro Guillen Meza | W | 6-7, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 12.07.2026 | Sebastian Baez | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
Francesco Forti, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Oriol Roca Batalla | L | 6-2, 6-7, 6-0 |
| 22.10.2026 | Federico Bondioli | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 19.10.2026 | Jonas Forejtek | W | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 12.10.2026 | Zdenek Kolar | L | 7-6, 2-6, 7-6 |
| 06.10.2026 | Carlos Sanchez Jover | L | 6-4, 3-6, 6-4 |
| 26.09.2026 | Carlo Alberto Caniato | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 25.09.2026 | Mika Petkovic | W | 6-4, 5-7, 6-2 |
| 24.09.2026 | Alejandro Juan Mano | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 22.09.2026 | Ryan Nijboer | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 17.09.2026 | Mika Brunold | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Federico Bondioli | Francesco Forti |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Juan Mano | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-2 |
| Andrea Guerrieri | 1-2 L 7-6, 6-2, L 5-7, 6-4, 6-4, W 6-2, 7-6 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-4 |
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-7, 6-4 |
0-2 L 6-2, 6-4, L 7-6, 6-2 |
| Carlos Sanchez Jover | 0-1 L 6-0, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-4, 3-6, 6-4 |
| Cezar Cretu | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-3, 7-5 |
| Enrico Dalla Valle | 0-1 L 6-1, 5-7, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
| Federico Arnaboldi | 1-0 W 2-4 |
1-0 W 3-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
| Marco Cecchinato | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-3 |
| Zdenek Kolar | 1-0 W 4-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
0-1 L 7-6, 2-6, 7-6 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: ATP Florence (Italy), model gave Federico Bondioli 55% at +123
- 2026-10-26: ATP Florence (Italy), model gave Federico Bondioli 55% at +123
- 2026-10-25: ATP Florence (Italy), model gave Federico Bondioli 55% at +123
- 2026-10-24: ATP Florence (Italy), model gave Federico Bondioli 55% at +123
- 2026-10-23: ATP Florence (Italy), model gave Federico Bondioli 55% at +123
- 2026-10-22: ATP Florence (Italy), model gave Federico Bondioli 55% at +123
- 2026-10-21: ATP Florence (Italy), model gave Federico Bondioli 55% at +123
- 2026-10-20: ATP Florence (Italy), model gave Federico Bondioli 55% at +133
Federico Bondioli vs Francesco Forti: quick answers
Who will win Federico Bondioli vs Francesco Forti?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Federico Bondioli, giving them a 55% chance to win against Francesco Forti (45%).
What is the head-to-head record between Federico Bondioli and Francesco Forti?
Francesco Forti leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Francesco Forti 6-1, 6-0 at Italy Florence.
Who is in better form, Federico Bondioli or Francesco Forti?
Federico Bondioli is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Francesco Forti is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Federico Bondioli and Francesco Forti?
Federico Bondioli is rated 6654 (ATP #277) and Francesco Forti is rated 6617 (ATP #327). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Federico Bondioli vs Francesco Forti?
Federico Bondioli is priced at +123 and Francesco Forti at -172, which implies a 45% and 63% chance to win. The model rates Federico Bondioli 10 points higher than the odds do (55% vs 45%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.