Joy De Zeeuw vs Federica Urgesi

WTA Loule (Portugal), Hard. Wednesday, October 28, 2026, 03:00.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Federica Urgesi, giving them a 94% chance to win against Joy De Zeeuw (6%). Federica Urgesi leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Zeeuw is 5-5 in their last 10, Urgesi 8-2. At -625, the odds imply 86% for Federica Urgesi, below the model's 94%.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 28, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Federica Urgesi a 94% favorite. At -625 the sportsbook implies 86% for Federica Urgesi, 8 points below the model's 94%.

Model
6%
Book
23%

Model minus book: -17 pts

Model
94%
Book
86%

Model minus book: +8 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Federica Urgesi at -625 · Model track record

Player comparison

Joy De ZeeuwFederica Urgesi
Tennis Gauge rating63836694
Tour rankWTA #767WTA #289
Last 10 matches5-58-2
Last 30 days1-13-3
Current streak1 Win7 Wins
Season record5-544-26
UTR10.4111.71
Elo (52 weeks)–1447
Best surface–Clay
Worst surface–Hard

Head to head

Federica Urgesi leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
22.10.2026Federica Urgesi7-6, 6-1Portugal Loule

Recent form

Joy De Zeeuw, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Lisa Peer W6-0, 6-1
22.10.2026Federica Urgesi L7-6, 6-1
21.10.2026Daniela Darta Feldmane W6-2, 6-4
05.09.2026Mia Horvit L6-3, 6-3
03.09.2026Carolin Raschdorf W6-3, 6-4
02.09.2026Felien Willemse W6-3, 6-4
27.08.2026Tena Lukas L6-2, 6-4
26.08.2026Sahaja Yamalapalli W6-3, 7-5
30.06.2026Lia Karatancheva L6-2, 6-0
23.06.2026Isis Louise Van Den Broek L6-1, 6-2

Federica Urgesi, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Isis Louise Van Den Broek W7-5, 6-0
28.10.2026Ann Akasha Ceuca W6-0, 6-4
25.10.2026Maria Aran Teixido Garcia W6-2, 6-3
24.10.2026Weronika Falkowska W6-4, 3-6, 7-5
23.10.2026Carmen Lopez Martinez W6-4, 6-1
22.10.2026Joy De Zeeuw W7-6, 6-1
21.10.2026Min Liu W6-2, 6-1
16.10.2026Iva Ivanova L7-5, 7-5
16.10.2026Iva Ivanova L7-5, 7-5
13.10.2026Andreya Glushkova W6-3, 6-1

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentJoy De ZeeuwFederica Urgesi
Isis Louise Van Den Broek 0-1
L 6-1, 6-2
1-0
W 7-5, 6-0
Lia Karatancheva 0-1
L 6-2, 6-0
1-0
W 6-0, 6-2

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-27: WTA Loule (Portugal), model gave Joy De Zeeuw 6% at +341
  • 2026-10-26: WTA Loule (Portugal), model gave Joy De Zeeuw 6% at +341
  • 2026-10-25: WTA Loule (Portugal), model gave Joy De Zeeuw 6% at +341
  • 2026-10-24: WTA Loule (Portugal), model gave Joy De Zeeuw 6% at +341
  • 2026-10-23: WTA Loule (Portugal), model gave Joy De Zeeuw 6% at +341
  • 2026-10-22: WTA Loule (Portugal), model gave Joy De Zeeuw 6% at +341
  • 2026-10-21: WTA Loule (Portugal), model gave Joy De Zeeuw 6% at +341

Joy De Zeeuw vs Federica Urgesi: quick answers

Who will win Joy De Zeeuw vs Federica Urgesi?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Federica Urgesi, giving them a 94% chance to win against Joy De Zeeuw (6%).

What is the head-to-head record between Joy De Zeeuw and Federica Urgesi?

Federica Urgesi leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Federica Urgesi 7-6, 6-1 at Portugal Loule.

Who is in better form, Joy De Zeeuw or Federica Urgesi?

Joy De Zeeuw is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Win). Federica Urgesi is 8-2 (current streak: 7 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Joy De Zeeuw and Federica Urgesi?

Joy De Zeeuw is rated 6383 (WTA #767) and Federica Urgesi is rated 6694 (WTA #289). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Joy De Zeeuw vs Federica Urgesi?

Joy De Zeeuw is priced at +341 and Federica Urgesi at -625, which implies a 23% and 86% chance to win. The model rates Federica Urgesi 8 points higher than the odds do (94% vs 86%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.