Iva Ivanova vs Federica Urgesi

WTA Stara Zagora (Bulgaria), Clay. Friday, October 16, 2026, 12:00.

Updated

Iva Ivanova beat Federica Urgesi 7-5, 7-5, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Federica Urgesi at 88%. Iva Ivanova leads 3-0 in their head-to-head. Ivanova is 6-4 in their last 10, Urgesi 8-2.

Result: Iva Ivanova beat Federica Urgesi 7-5, 7-5. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Federica Urgesi.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Federica Urgesi a 88% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
12%
Book
25%

Model minus book: -14 pts

Model
88%
Book
85%

Model minus book: +3 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Federica Urgesi at -588 · Model track record

Player comparison

Iva IvanovaFederica Urgesi
Tennis Gauge rating65596694
Tour rankWTA #458WTA #289
Last 10 matches6-48-2
Last 30 days3-22-2
Current streak1 Loss7 Wins
Season record34-2344-26
UTR10.8811.71
Elo (52 weeks)–1447
Best surface–Clay
Worst surface–Hard

Head to head

Iva Ivanova leads 3-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
16.10.2026Iva Ivanova7-5, 7-5Bulgaria Stara Zagora
16.10.2026Iva Ivanova7-5, 7-5Bulgaria Stara Zagora
08.10.2026Iva Ivanova7-5, 6-3Bulgaria Burgas

Recent form

Iva Ivanova, last 10

DateOpponentScore
17.10.2026Ipek Oz L6-1, 6-2
16.10.2026Federica Urgesi W7-5, 7-5
16.10.2026Federica Urgesi W7-5, 7-5
13.10.2026Nicole Gadient W6-3, 2-6, 6-3
09.10.2026Rositsa Dencheva L6-4, 6-0
08.10.2026Federica Urgesi W7-5, 6-3
06.10.2026Diana Ioana Simionescu W4-6, 6-3, 6-1
23.09.2026Lidia Encheva L6-1, 6-3
16.09.2026Caijsa Wilda Hennemann L6-4, 6-0
15.09.2026Merel Hoedt W3-6, 6-4, 7-5

Federica Urgesi, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Isis Louise Van Den Broek W7-5, 6-0
28.10.2026Ann Akasha Ceuca W6-0, 6-4
25.10.2026Maria Aran Teixido Garcia W6-2, 6-3
24.10.2026Weronika Falkowska W6-4, 3-6, 7-5
23.10.2026Carmen Lopez Martinez W6-4, 6-1
22.10.2026Joy De Zeeuw W7-6, 6-1
21.10.2026Min Liu W6-2, 6-1
16.10.2026Iva Ivanova L7-5, 7-5
16.10.2026Iva Ivanova L7-5, 7-5
13.10.2026Andreya Glushkova W6-3, 6-1

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentIva IvanovaFederica Urgesi
Alessandra Mazzola 0-1
L 6-3, 2-6, 6-3
1-0
W 6-4, 3-6, 6-1
Eva Bennemann 0-1
L 6-3, 6-1
1-0
W 6-0, 4-6, 6-4
Gabriela Ce 1-0
W 3-6, 6-4, 6-0
1-0
W 6-0, 3-6, 6-3
Martha Matoula 0-1
L 6-3, 6-3
0-1
L 6-3, 6-2
Weronika Falkowska 0-1
L 6-3, 6-4
1-0
W 6-4, 3-6, 7-5

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-15: WTA Stara Zagora (Bulgaria), model gave Iva Ivanova 12% at +295
  • 2026-10-14: WTA Stara Zagora (Bulgaria), model gave Iva Ivanova 12% at +295
  • 2026-10-07: WTA Burgas (Bulgaria), model gave Federica Urgesi 89% at -556

Iva Ivanova vs Federica Urgesi: quick answers

Who won Iva Ivanova vs Federica Urgesi?

Iva Ivanova beat Federica Urgesi 7-5, 7-5, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Federica Urgesi at 88%.

What is the head-to-head record between Iva Ivanova and Federica Urgesi?

Iva Ivanova leads 3-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Iva Ivanova 7-5, 7-5 at Bulgaria Stara Zagora.

Who is in better form, Iva Ivanova or Federica Urgesi?

Iva Ivanova is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Federica Urgesi is 8-2 (current streak: 7 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Iva Ivanova and Federica Urgesi?

Iva Ivanova is rated 6559 (WTA #458) and Federica Urgesi is rated 6694 (WTA #289). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Iva Ivanova vs Federica Urgesi?

Iva Ivanova is priced at +295 and Federica Urgesi at -588, which implies a 25% and 85% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.